Philadelphia Union vs FC Dallas 5/31/25 Prediction MLS Picks

Philadelphia Union will visit FC Dallas on Saturday, May 31st, 2025, at the Toyota Stadium in this Week 17 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Union vs FC Dallas Prediction. We will examine:

FC Dallas recent form and player performance

Philadelphia Union recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving FC Dallas

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia Union

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Union and FC Dallas

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Philadelphia Union vs FC Dallas game

FC Dallas Preview

Dallas has 17 points this season and is sitting on the 11th place of the Western Conference. Dallas has a 4-6-5 record this season and have a 1-4-1 home record. Dallas is coming off 3-3 road draw against Cincinnati, ending their previous three-game losing streak. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.   

Dallas is averaging 1.20 goals per game, which is the tied for 10th in the West, while allowing 1.73 goals per game, which is tied for third-worst in the conference. Anderson Julio and Petar Musa lead Dallas’ offense this season with four goals apiece.

Philadelphia Union Preview

Philadelphia has 33 points this season and are sitting on the first place of the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has a 10-3-3 record this season, and are 5-2 on the road. Philadelphia is coming off a 2-1 road victory over Toronto, and have been red-hot lately, with 8 wins and two draws in their last 10 games. Over is 10-1 in their last 10 games.

Philadelphia is averaging 2.00 goals per game, which the best in the East, while allowing 1.13 goals per game, which is tied for second-best in the conference. Thai Baribo is the top scorer for Philadelphia this season with 12 total goals.

Why FC Dallas will win

• FC Dallas has won seven of its last eight MLS home games against Philadelphia Union.
• FC Dallas has won seven of its last eight MLS games against Philadelphia Union at Toyota Stadium.
• The home team has won six of the last seven MLS games between FC Dallas and Philadelphia Union.
• Philadelphia Union has lost each of its last three MLS games at Toyota Stadium following a win.
• The favorite has won seven of Philadelphia Union’s last eight MLS games at Toyota Stadium.

Why Philadelphia Union will win

• Philadelphia Union has won each of its last three MLS away games.
• Philadelphia Union has won six of its last eight MLS games.
• Philadelphia Union has won five of its last seven MLS away games.
• FC Dallas has lost three of its last four MLS games following a draw.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 22 of FC Dallas’ last 25 MLS games as a favorite.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 20 of FC Dallas’ last 23 MLS games as a home favorite.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of the last four MLS games between FC Dallas and Philadelphia Union at Toyota Stadium.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Philadelphia Union’s last four MLS games as an underdog against FC Dallas.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Philadelphia Union’s last eight MLS games.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of FC Dallas’ last four MLS home games against Philadelphia Union.

Philadelphia Union vs FC Dallas Prediction

Dallas is 3-1-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against Philadelphia, but the last time they met was back in 2023. Dallas has also won their last four home meetings against Philadelphia, and under is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings.

In this Philadelphia Union vs FC Dallas Prediction, Dallas is coming as -125 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this spot, as Philadelphia has been the best team in the whole MLS, and have been very good on the road, while Dallas has only one win in their six home games this season. Philadelphia is also in far better form, with 8 wins in their last 10 games, and there is huge value with Philly as road dogs in this spot. While I like Philly to win outright, I would play it safe and take Philadelphia Union at +0.25 goals, which means that we win half the bet even if the game draws.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Philadelphia Union +0.25