Fulham vs Aston Villa 9/28/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction for this English Premier League Week 6 matchup on Sunday, September 28th, at the Villa Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 3 points this season, with a 0-2-3 record, and are sitting on the 18th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 0-1-1 home record and a 0-1-2 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-1 draw at Sunderland, where they had 71% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 89% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.79 compared to Sunderland’s 1.04.

Aston Villa is scoring 0.20 goals per game, which ranks 20th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 8th. Matty Cash is Aston Villa’s top scorer with 1 goal. Boubacar Kamara is Aston Villa’s top passer, with 1 assist.

Fulham Preview

Fulham has 8 points this season, with a 2-1-2 record, and are sitting on the 8th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-1 home record and a 0-1-1 away record. Fulham is coming off a 3-1 home win against Brentford, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.00 compared to Brentford’s 0.60.

Fulham is scoring 1.20 goals per game, which ranks 8th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 8th. Rodrigo Muniz is Fulham’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Harry Wilson, Alex Iwobi and Emile Smith Rowe with 1 goal apiece. Alex Iwobi is Fulham’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Aston Villa will win

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last six league matches against Fulham at Villa Park.

·        Aston Villa has won seven of its last eight EPL matches against Fulham.

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL matches against Fulham.

·        Aston Villa has won six of its last seven league home matches against Fulham.

·        Fulham has lost each of its last four EPL away matches following a league win.

·        Fulham has lost each of its last four EPL day matches following a league win.

·        Fulham has lost 11 of its last 12 EPL matches as an away underdog following a league win.

·        The favorite has won each of the last six league matches between Aston Villa and Fulham at Villa Park.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Aston Villa’s last nine EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Fulham’s last four EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Aston Villa’s last seven EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Fulham’s last six EPL matches.

Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction

Villa won both meetings against Fulham last season. At home by 1-0 and on the road by 3-1. They are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against Fulham, and over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as +130 home favorites. Villa might have been dominating Fulham in recent years, but they have been terrible this season, and they are clearly being overvalued in this spot. They are dead last in the Premier League offensively, with just one goal scored in five games played, while Fulham has been in good form lately, with three straight wins. I like the guests to keep this one close, so take Fulham by +0.5 goals in this one.