Everton vs Newcastle United 5/25/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Everton will visit Newcastle United on Sunday, May 25, 2025, at the St. James’ Park in this Week 38 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction. We will examine:

Newcastle United recent form and player performance

Everton recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Newcastle United

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Everton

Recent betting trends in games played between the Everton and Newcastle United

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Everton vs Newcastle United game

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle has 66 points this season and are tied with Chelsea and Aston Villa on the 4th place of the Premier League standings. Newcastle has a 20-11-6 record this season and have a 12-4-2 home record. They are coming off a 0-1 road defeat by Arsenal, and are 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. They have four consecutive home wins, and the last three had been by two goals or more. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 overall games but over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

Newcastle is averaging 1.84 goals per game, which is the third-best in the league, while allowing 1.24 goals per game, which is tied for 7th. Alexander Isak is the top scorer for Newcastle this season with 23 total goals, while Harvey Barnes follows with 9 goals. Jacob Murphy is the team’s top passer, with 11 assists made.

Everton Preview

Everton has 45 points this season and is sitting on the 13th place of the Premier League standings. Everton has a 10-12-15 record this season and have a 5-7-6 road record. Everton is coming off a 2-0 home victory over Southampton, and have back-to-back wins. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 overall games and 5-1 in their last 6 road games. 

Everton is averaging just 1.11 goals per games, which is the 4th-worst in the league, while allowing 1.19 per game, which is tied for 4th-best. Iliman Ndiaye is the top scorer for Everton this season with 9 goals, while Beto Bercique follows with 8 goals. Dwight McNeil is the team’s top passer with 6 assists.

Why Newcastle United will win

• Newcastle United has won each of its last six EPL home matches.
• Newcastle United has won seven of its last eight EPL home matches following a league loss.
• Newcastle United has won each of its last four EPL matches at St. James’ Park following a league loss.
• Newcastle United has won nine of its last 11 EPL home matches.
• The favorite has won 12 of Newcastle United’s last 13 EPL matches.

Why Everton will win

• Everton has won three of its last four EPL day matches as an away underdog.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in three of Everton’s last four EPL away matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Everton’s last six EPL day matches at St. James’ Park.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Newcastle United’s last 12 EPL home matches.
• The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Everton’s last eight EPL matches as an underdog.

Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction

Their previous meeting this season was a 0-0 draw in Goodison Park. Both teams are 2-2-2 in their last 6 overall meetings, but Newcastle is 3-0-1 in their last 4 meetings in St. James’ Park. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 overall meetings, but the over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in St. James’ Park.

In this Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction, Newcastle is coming as huge -295 home favorites. Newcastle is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, and the only team with something to play for, as with a win today they secure a place in next seaosn’s UEFA Champions League. There is no value in Newcastle moneyline at -295, but in a highly important game such as this one, I am willing to get them at -1.5 goals, as they have won by 2+ goals in their last three games at home. Take Newcastle United by -1.5 goals in this one.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Newcastle United -1.5