Burnley vs Manchester City 9/27/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction for this English Premier League Week 6 matchup on Saturday, September 27th, at the Etihad Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 7 points this season, with a 2-2-1 record, and are sitting on the 9th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-0 home record and a 1-1-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 1-1 road defeat against Arsenal, where they had 33% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 76% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.87 compared to Arsenal’s 0.88.

Manchester City is scoring 1.80 goals per game, which ranks 5th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 5th. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Tijani Reijnders, Ryan Cherki and Phil Foden with 1 goal each. Tijani Reijnders and Jeremy Doku are Manchester City’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Burnley Preview

Burnley has 4 points this season, with a 1-3-1 record, and are sitting on the 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-1 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Burnley is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Nottingham Forest, where they had 37% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 77% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.85 compared to Nottingham Forest’s 1.09.

Burnley is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 12th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.60 goals per game, which is 12th. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Josh Cullen with 2 goals, and Lyle Foster with 1 goal apiece. Jaidon Anthony, Josh Cullen, Lyle Foster and Jacob Bruun Larsen are Burnley’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won each of its last 12 EPL home matches against promoted teams.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last 10 EPL matches against Burnley.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last 12 EPL matches as a home favorite against promoted teams.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last 10 EPL matches as a favorite against Burnley.

·        Manchester City has won 13 of its last 14 EPL matches against Burnley.

·        The favorite has won each of the last 10 EPL matches between Manchester City and Burnley.

·        The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last seven EPL matches at Etihad Stadium.

·        Burnley has lost each of its last five EPL matches at Etihad Stadium following a league draw.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Manchester City’s last eight EPL home matches against Burnley.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Manchester City’s last five EPL home matches against Burnley.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Burnley’s last 12 EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last three EPL away matches.

Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction

Manchester City won their last 13 meetings against Burnley, with 10 of those wins being by 2 goals or more. Their last three meetings have gone over the total.

In this Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction, City is coming as huge -575 road favorites. City has been very good this season, as they are the 5th-best team in the Premier League both offensively, and defensively. They have been perfect against Burnley since 2009, and have won by 2+ goals their last 10 meetings. I expect them to destroy Burnley in Etihad Stadium, so take Manchester City by -2 goals in this one.