Pick details
England (5-0-1) / Argentina (6-0-0)
03:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Argentina +205 / England +160– Over/Under: 2
England Preview
England (5-0-1) finished the group phase of the World Cup with 7 points, with two wins and one draw and were placed 1st in Group L. They are coming off a 2-1 win over Norway (after extra time) in the quarterfinals, where they had 52% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 90% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.04 compared to Norway’s 0.68.
England is averaging 2.17 goals per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +1.2 goal differential, 1.82 average expected goals, 0.81 average expected goals conceded and +1.0 average expected goal differential. They have 57% possession of the ball and 67% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham are England’s top scorers with 6 goals each. Bukayo Saka and Anthony Gordon are England’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
Argentina Preview
Argentina (6-0-0) finished the group phase of the World Cup with 9 points, with three wins and were placed 1st in Group J. They are coming off a 3-1 win over Switzerland (after extra time) in the quarterfinals, where they had 59% possession of the ball and 22 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 89% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.94 compared to Switzerland’s 0.46.
Argentina is averaging 2.83 goals per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +1.8 goal differential, 2.13 average expected goals, 0.65 average expected goals conceded and +1.5 average expected goal differential. They have 65% possession of the ball and 57% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Lionel Messi is Argentina’s top scorer with 8 goals. He is also Argentina’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Argentina vs England Prediction
England has three wins one loss and one draw in its five meetings against Argentina and three of those five meetings have gone over the total.
In this Argentina vs England Prediction, England is coming as +160 favorites. Argentina as an underdog is very appealing in this game, but the total is set at just two goals and both teams have had 3+ total games in their last seven games in the World Cup combined. Yes, they do play good defense, but they still average two goals per game combined defensively, which will still push if we get the over two goals. There is a lot of offensive firepower in both sides and they average almost five goals per game combined and almost four expected goals per game. Take the over 2 in this one.


