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Wild vs Flames Prediction 4/11/25 NHL Picks

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Calgary Flames (37-27-14) vs Minnesota Wild (43-29-7)

April 11, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Calgary Flames +102 / Minnesota Wild -122 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Wild vs Flames prediction for this NHL game on Friday, April 11th at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild are 43-29-7 this year after they defeated San Jose in overtime by a score of 8-7 in their last game. Minnesota led 7-4 in the third period, but they blew the lead before escaping with the win in overtime. The Wild outshot San Jose by a total of 44-31, won 53.2% of the face-offs, and went 3-4 on the power play in the game. Minnesota got goals from Eriksson Ek (4), Johansson, Kaprizov (2), and Faber, while Fleury stopped 24 out of 31 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Wild defeated the Stars by a score of 3-2 but did lose to the Islanders by a score of 3-1 before that. Minnesota has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently battling the Blues for fourth in the Central standings with 93 points. Minnesota has scored 2.75 goals per game, and they have allowed 2.89 goals against per game, while also going 21.5% on the power play and 72.7% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Boldy has led Minnesota with 26 goals, 45 assists, and 264 shots on goal, while Marco Rossi has added 24 goals, 36 assists, and 134 shots on goal. Filip Gustavsson is 30-18-6 with a 2.54 goals against average and a .915 save percentage this year. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 37-27-14 this season after they lost to Anaheim by a score of 4-3 in overtime last time out. Calgary led 3-1 with under four minutes left, but they allowed two goals in eight seconds and ended up losing in overtime. The Flames outshot Anaheim by a total of 39-23, won 56.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-6 on the power play in the game. Calgary got goals from Backlund, Coronato, and Sharangovich, while Wolf stopped 19 out of 23 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Flames defeated the Sharks by a score of 3-2 but did lose to the Golden Knights by a score of 3-2 before that. Calgary has alternated wins and losses over their last seven games, and they are currently fourth in the Pacific standings with 88 points. Calgary has scored 2.59 goals per game, and they have allowed 2.91 goals against per game, while also going 20.4% on the power play and 75.6% on the penalty kill this season. Nazem Kadri has led Calgary with 31 goals, 30 assists, and 266 shots on goal, while Jonathan Huberdeau has added 28 goals, 31 assists, and 150 shots on goal. Dustin Wolf is 26-16-8 with a 2.64 goals against average and a .910 save percentage this season. 

Why the Wild will beat the Flames 

  • The Flames have lost each of their last five home games against Central Division opponents.
  • The favorites have won seven of the Flames’ last eight games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games at Scotiabank Saddledome after coming off overtime.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games after coming off overtime.
  • The Flames have lost the second period in each of their last four home games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Six of the Flames’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Wild’s last five games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the Wild’s last four games as favorites.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Wild and Flames.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Matthew Coronato has scored a goal in each of the Flames’ last three games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in eight of the Flames’ last nine home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • MacKenzie Weegar has recorded an assist in five of the Flames’ last six games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with the Wild as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Kirill Kaprizov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances with the Wild as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • Kirill Kaprizov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Wild as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Wild vs Flames Prediction 

Calgary comes into this matchup desperately needing a regulation win to stay in the wild card race, but their loss to Anaheim in their last game probably eliminated them from the postseason. The Flames are 20-12-6 at home this year, while the Wild are 22-12-5 on the road. Minnesota has won two overtime games in a row, and while they didn’t look great in that win over the Sharks, they still found a way to win. The Wild are getting healthy at the right time, and they have been very solid on the road. Take Minnesota to win here. 

David Racey's Pick: Wild ML

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