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Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Prediction 4/6/25 NHL Picks

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New York Islanders (33-32-10) vs Washington Capitals (49-18-9)

April 6, 2025 at 12:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Islanders +124 / Washington Capitals -148 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Capitals and the New York Islanders meet Sunday in NHL action from the UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs. New York Islanders prediction.

Matchup History

The Washington Capitals won the most recent meeting between these two teams and the only meeting this season by a final score of 5-4 in OT in Washington back on November 29th, 2024. The win made it three straight wins for the home team in this head-to-head matchup.

Washington Capitals Recap

The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over the Chicago Blackhawks last time out to improve to 49-18-9 on the year. After this game, the Capitals will head home for a game against the Carolina Hurricanes.

Capitals Looking For Some Consistency Down The Stretch

Dylan Strome leads the Capitals with 75 points including 25 goals and a team-high 50 assists while Alex Ovechkin has 68 points with 41 goals and 27 assists and Connor McMichael’s added 55 points with 25 goals and 30 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 66 points with 30 goals and 36 assists while Tom Wilson has 61 points and John Carlson has 50 points with Wilson logging 32 goals and 29 assists and Carlson adding 45 assists. Pierre-Luc Dubois also has 63 points with 44 assists of his own. Jakob Chychrun has 47 points with 20 goals and 27 assists as well on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 31-6-6 with a 2.49 GAA and a .910 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 18-12-3 with a 2.67 GAA and an .898 save percentage this season.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Islanders have lost each of their last nine day games following a home win.
  • The Capitals have won 10 of their last 11 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last eight road games against the Islanders following a win.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six day games at UBS Arena following a home win.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has scored the last goal in four of his last five appearances with the Capitals as road favorites against the Islanders.
  • Aliaksei Protas has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • John Carlson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last five day games.
  • Aliaksei Protas ranks 1st in the Metropolitan Division for Plus/Minus (+40) this season.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to add on to their 3-1 win over the Minnesota Wild last time out to improve to 33-32-10 on the year. After this game, the Islanders will head on the road for a game against the Nashville Predators.

Islanders Snap Six-Game Losing Skid

Anders Lee has 50 points including 27 goals and 23 assists while Kyle Palmieri has 47 points split between 24 goals and 23 assists. Bo Horvat has 52 points with 25 goals and 27 assists. Simon Holmstrom has 39 points with 18 goals and 21 assists and Maxim Tsyplakov has 32 points with 8 goals and 24 assists. J-G Pageau has 37 points with 12 goals and 25 assists and Noah Dobson has 37 points with 28 assists. Ilya Sorokin has gone 28-23-6 with a 2.76 GAA and a .905 save percentage in goal for the Islanders while Semyon Varlamov is 3-4-3 with a 2.89 GAA and an .889 save percentage this season. Marcus Hogberg has also gone 2-4-1 with a 2.39 GAA and a .915 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the New York Islanders will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Capitals’ last five games at UBS Arena.
  • The Capitals have lost each of their last three road games following a win.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs following a home win.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Anders Lee has scored a goal in seven of the Islanders’ last eight games as underdogs against the Capitals.
  • Anthony DeAngelo has recorded at least one assist in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Capitals.
  • Anders Lee has recorded at least one point in eight of the Islanders’ last nine games as underdogs against the Capitals.
  • Simon Holmstrom has scored two goals against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Islanders’ last five day games at UBS Arena following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Capitals’ last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.

Washington Capitals vs. New York Islanders Prediction

I’m on the Capitals in this one. The Islanders may have gotten a win over the Wild last time out, but it doesn’t change the fact that the Islanders have looked like a team closer to a rebuild than a team closer to a playoff spot in recent weeks and I don’t see that changing here. The Capitals are still one of the NHL’s best and I think they add another win over a subpar and inferior opponent on Long Island here. Give me the Capitals in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Washington Capitals -148

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