Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction 4/25/25 NHL Picks

The Washington Capitals and the Montreal Canadiens meet Friday in NHL action from the Bell Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens prediction.

Series Recap

The Washington Capitals defended home ice by taking a 2-0 series lead after picking up a 3-1 win in game two last time out over the Canadiens. The game remained scoreless through the first 20 minutes before Christian Dvorak opened the scoring for Montreal just 1:16 into the game. Connor McMichael and Dylan Strome tied the game and gave Washington the 2-1 lead with goals one minute apart just before the five minute mark of the second period. Try as they might, the Canadiens tried to get back in the game but couldn’t solve the Capitals’ defense as McMichael iced the win with an empty-netter with two seconds to go to secure the 3-1 win.

Capitals Looking To Secure Commanding 3-0 Lead

Dylan Strome leads the Capitals with 82 points including 29 goals and a team-high 53 assists while Alex Ovechkin has 73 points with 44 goals and 29 assists and Connor McMichael’s added 57 points with 26 goals and 31 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 66 points with 30 goals and 36 assists while Tom Wilson has 65 points and John Carlson has 51 points with Wilson logging 33 goals and 32 assists and Carlson adding 46 assists. Pierre-Luc Dubois also has 66 points with 46 assists of his own. Jakob Chychrun has 47 points with 20 goals and 27 assists as well on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 31-6-6 with a 2.49 GAA and a .910 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 20-14-3 with a 2.73 GAA and an .896 save percentage this season.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have lost each of their last six night games following a road loss.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games at Bell Centre following a win.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games following a road loss.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of the Capitals’ last four playoff games as favorites.
• T.J. Oshie has scored at least one goal in each of his last four playoff appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Aliaksei Protas has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Trevor van Riemsdyk has recorded two assists against the Canadiens this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Canadiens Trying To Get On The Board In Series

Nick Suzuki has a team-high 89 points with 30 goals and a team-high 59 assists while Cole Caufield has 70 points with a team-high 37 goals. Mike Matheson has 25 assists while Juraj Slafkovsky has 51 points with 33 assists and Lane Hutson has 60 assists as well on the year. Brendan Gallagher has 38 points with 21 goals while Jake Evans has 36 points with 13 goals and 23 assists. In goal for Montreal, Sam Montembeault has gone 31-24-7 with a 2.82 GAA and a .902 save percentage while Cayden Primeau is 2-3-1 with a 4.70 GAA and an .836 save percentage this season. Jakub Dobes is also 7-4-3 with a 2.74 GAA and a .909 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have lost each of their last six road games following a win.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games at Bell Centre following a road loss.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Nick Suzuki has scored at least one goal in each of the Canadiens’ last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded an assist in each of the Canadiens’ last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one point in each of the Canadiens’ last seven home games against the Capitals.
• Mike Matheson ranks 1st in the Atlantic Division for average time on ice (25:05) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Capitals’ last 10 games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last five games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.

Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens Prediction

I’m on the Capitals here. I just don’t see the Canadiens being able to break down the Capitals’ defense and goaltending once again, as I’ve said time and time again for anyone who would listen, Washington’s tandem in goal of Logan Thompson and Charlie Lindgren remains the most underrated in the NHL in my opinion. I think the Caps could sweep here as the moment just seems too big for the young Habs so give me Washington here.