Apr 15, 2025; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Vegas Golden Knights goaltender Ilya Samsonov (35) makes a save against Calgary Flames center Mikael Backlund (11) during the overtime period at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-Imagn Images
Sergei Belski-Imagn Images

Vegas Golden Knights vs Calgary Flames Prediction 10/14/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Vegas Golden Knights Calgary Flames
Team Records 2-0-2 1-3-0
Where Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
When Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Time 09:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Flames Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, October 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have a 1-2 record this season, and are 1-2 ATS, and 2-0-1 in over/under. They have a 0-1 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home defeat by the Saint Louis Blues. Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.33 goals per game and are scoring 14.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 4.00 goals per game and are killing 75% of their opponent’s power plays. Matt Coronato leads Calgary with 3 points, two goals and one assist.

Dustin Wolf is likely in net for the Flames, and he has a 1-2 record, with 3.99 GAA and .865 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights Preview

The Golden Knights have a 1-0-2 record this season, and are 0-3 ATS and 2-1 in over/under. They have a 1-0-1 road record and are coming off a 1-2 road defeat in overtime against the Seattle Kraken. Offensively, the Golden Knights are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 30.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.67 goals per game and are killing 62.5% of their opponent’s power plays. Jach Eichel leads Vegas with 7 points, two goals and 5 assists.

Adin Hill is likely in net for the Golden Knights, and he has a 0-0-2 record, with 3.24 GAA and .854 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights @ Calgary Flames Betting Trends: October 14, 2025

Why the Calgary Flames will win

  • The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won six of the Golden Knights’ last eight games.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last seven games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
  • The home team has won the third period in each of the last eight games between the Golden Knights and Flames.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The Golden Knights have won five of their last six games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Flames have lost 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in four of the Flames’ last five games.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four home games following a home loss.
  • The favorites have won the third period in seven of the Flames’ last eight games at Scotiabank Saddledome.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Flames’ last eight games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Golden Knights’ last six night games at Scotiabank Saddledome have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last seven games following a home loss.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Nazem Kadri has scored at least one goal in six of the Flames’ last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Nazem Kadri has recorded an assist in each of the Flames’ last four home games against the Golden Knights.
  • Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in each of the Flames’ last eight home games.
  • Morgan Frost ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (1) this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Pavel Dorofeyev has scored at least one goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last three games.
  • Mark Stone has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with the Golden Knights as favorites.
  • Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Golden Knights’ last nine games as favorites.
  • Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 1st in the league for Goals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Calgary Flames rank T29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.00).
  • The Calgary Flames rank T26th in the league for goals against per game this season (4.00).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank T29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (62.50%).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (30.77%).

Golden Knights vs Flames Prediction

The Knights were 3-1 in their 4 meetings against the Flames last season, but were 1-1 in their two visits in Calgary. The Knights won by 3-2 in overtime and the Flames won by 5-4 in shootout. The Flames are 3-1 in their last 4 home meetings against the Knights, and under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings. 

In this Golden Knights vs Flames Prediction, the Golden Knights are coming as -165 road favorites. Both teams have been underwhelming this season, and I certainly cannot back Vegas as -165 favorites on the road, when they allow 3.67 goals per game and have a 62.5% power play kill. I cannot trust the Flames either, so I will focus on the total. Both teams allow 7.3 goals per game combined, and they have 6.33 and 7 average total goals this season. Both goalies have been struggling with 7.23 GAA combined, so I expect some goals in this matchup. Take the over 5.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 5.5

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