Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL Picks 11/30/24

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Utah Hockey Club, lost to the Panthers, and they play the Blackhawks, Predators, and Capitals next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 2.95 goals per game and are scoring 20.3 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 14 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 20 shots on goal and John Tavares has 74 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.59 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 30 goals on 380 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 14 goals on 179 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Capitals, beat the Predators, and they play the Sharks, Canucks and Oilers next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.77 goals per game and are scoring on 23.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 15 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 21 assists and Brandon Hagel has 56 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.05 goals per game and are killing 77.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 42 goals on 467 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 18 goals on 125 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Lightning have won each of their last two games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the last eight games between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Amalie Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in each of their last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs are playing better hockey and are more than capable of keeping things rolling. The Maple Leafs have also won 7 of the last 10 games against the Lightning. The problem with all of that is you almost never get the Lightning at home with these prices. The Lightning are too consistent and give you a chance to win each night. Also, the Lightning are 7-3-1 at home this season. I’ll grab the even money with the Lightning at home.