Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 4/15/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off a 6-5 loss at the hands of the Dallas Stars last time out to sit at 32-35-14 this season. 

Maple Leafs Lose 6 In A Row

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 78 points on 29 goals and a team-high 49 assists while John Tavares has 71 points with 31 goals and 40 assists and Matthew Knies has 66 points with 23 goals and 43 assists. Auston Matthews has 53 points with 27 goals and 26 assists and Morgan Rielly has 36 points with 25 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 39 points with 31 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 10-10-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .893 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 15-16-7 with a 3.34 GAA and an .899 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-3 OT loss to New Jersey last time out to sit at 43-27-11 this season.

Senators Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 83 points coming on a team-high 34 goals and 49 assists while Drake Batherson has 70 points with 32 goals and 38 assists. Shane Pinto has 45 points with 23 goals and 22 assists while Dylan Cozens has 58 points with 27 goals and 31 assists. Claude Giroux has 47 points with 14 goals and 33 assists, Brady Tkachuk has 59 points with 22 goals and 37 assists and Jake Sanderson has 54 points with 14 goals and 40 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 28-12-8 with a 2.73 GAA and an .891 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 8-10-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .860 save percentage as well this season. James Reimer has also gone 6-4-2 with a 2.53 GAA and an .881 save percentage this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: April 15, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 12 games following a home loss.
• The Senators have won seven of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage against Senators.
• Senators has covered the puck line in each of its last seven home matches when playing with a rest advantage against Maple Leafs.
• The Senators have won the third period in each of their last six night games at Canadian Tire Centre when leading after the second period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Maple Leafs’ last six games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Senators have lost four of their last seven games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 14 of the Maple Leafs’ last 16 games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 19 games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine home games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Shane Pinto has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five night games.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as road underdogs against the Senators.
• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games against the Senators.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.64%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.36).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (3.60).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.86%).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction

I’m on the Senators here. I get that it’s a rivalry game to close out the year so even if you’re out of the playoffs, you’d like to think that guys still have some pride to go out and compete. However, Toronto’s better off playing for draft positioning right now and it looked like they realized it late in that Dallas game where they just completely folded late. I think Ottawa builds some momentum going into the playoffs with a win so give me the Senators.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Ottawa -165