Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction 4/9/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders meet Thursday in NHL action at the UBS Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Capitals and Kings and play the Panthers next. The Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.09 goals per game and are scoring 20.4 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 30 goals, William Nylander has 47 assists, and Auston Matthews has 227 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.53 goals per game and are killing 82.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 120 goals on 1,197 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders lost to the Flyers and Hurricanes and play the Senators next. The Islanders have lost 4 straight games.

The New York Islanders are averaging 2.85 goals per game and are scoring 16.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Bo Horvat leads New York with 30 goals, Mathew Barzal has 51 assists and Matthew Schaefer has 206 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 81.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. David Rittich has allowed 74 goals on 699 shots faced, and Ilya Sorokin has given up 135 goals on 1,477 shots.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last nine night games following a home loss.
• The Islanders have won four of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage against the Maple Leafs.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games at UBS Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in five of their last six games.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Islanders have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have won four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at UBS Arena.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 10 of the Islanders’ last 11 games at UBS Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Islanders’ last 10 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Schenn has scored a goal in four of the Islanders’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in each of the Islanders’ last four games against the Maple Leafs.
• Simon Holmstrom has recorded six shots against the Maple Leafs this season—equal to the most against any opponent.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has recorded an assist in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of his last three road appearances against the Islanders.
• Philippe Myers has recorded 44 career hits against the Islanders—most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.46%).
• The New York Islanders have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (12).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (32.3).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the equal-longest home losing streak (8 games) in the NHL this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction

The Maple Leafs have nothing to play for and look like a team that’s checked out. The Maple Leafs have been getting dragged this week. However, the Islanders may be in the thick of the playoff race, but four straight losses and allowed four or more goals in all of those games don’t scream positive form. The Islanders should win this game at home and have motivation on their side, but this price is insane. We’re getting two times our money to fade the Islanders who are slumping. I’ll take a shot in the dark here.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs