Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction 4/13/25 NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Carolina Hurricanes meet Sunday in NHL action from the Lenovo Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes prediction.

Matchup History

The home team has won both meetings between these two teams this season, with Carolina picking up a 6-3 win at home on January 9th, 2025, before Toronto picked up a 6-3 win of their own on February 22nd, 2025. The win for Toronto snapped Carolina’s five-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to build on their win over the Montreal Canadiens last time out by a final score of 1-0 to improve to 49-26-4 on the year. After this game, Toronto will head on the road for a game against the Buffalo Sabres.

Maple Leafs Win 7 Of Their Last 9

Mitch Marner has a team-high 98 points with 26 goals and a team-high 72 assists while William Nylander has 83 points with a team-high 44 goals. John Tavares has 73 points with 37 goals and 36 assists and Auston Matthews has 74 points with 30 goals and 44 assists. Matthew Knies has 55 points with 29 goals while Morgan Rielly has 38 points with 7 goals and 31 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 20-8-3 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.21 GAA and a .923 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 25-14-1 with a 2.76 GAA and a .907 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 3-3 record, a 3.33 GAA and an .878 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Hurricanes have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 21 of their last 22 games as underdogs following an overtime win.
• The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• John Tavares has recorded an assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with the Maple Leafs as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• John Tavares has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games as underdogs.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (10) this season.

Carolina Hurricanes Recap

The Carolina Hurricanes come into this game looking to build on a 7-3 win over the New York Rangers last time out to improve to 47-27-5 on the year. After this game, the Hurricanes will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Hurricanes Snap Four-Game Losing Streak

Sebastian Aho leads Carolina with 73 points with 28 goals and 45 assists while Andrei Svechnikov has 46 points with 19 goals and 27 assists. Jack Roslovic has 38 points with 21 goals while Shayne Gostisbehere’s added 44 points with 7 goals and 37 assists. Seth Jarvis has also chipped in 66 points with a team-high 32 goals as well this season. Pyotr Kochetkov has gone 27-15-3 with a 2.59 GAA and an .898 save percentage in goal for Carolina so far this year while Frederik Andersen is 13-6-1 with a 2.20 GAA and a .911 save percentage on the year. Spencer Martin has also gone 3-4-1 with a 3.89 GAA and an .846 save percentage and Dustin Tokarski’s 4-2 with a 2.18 GAA and a .902 save percentage this season.

Why the Carolina Hurricanes will win

• The Hurricanes have won each of their last 14 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five games at Lenovo Center.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Hurricanes’ last eight games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight road games following a win.

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Seth Jarvis has scored at least one goal in nine of the Hurricanes’ last 11 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Seth Jarvis has recorded at least one point in each of the Hurricanes’ last 12 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Brent Burns has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Maple Leafs.
• Logan Stankoven has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Hurricanes’ last four games at Lenovo Center against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes Prediction

I’m going to take a shot on Toronto here. I know it’s a back-to-back for Toronto, but the only thing that Carolina’s playing for here is pride in their home finale. They’re already locked into the 2-seed and are playing New Jersey in the first round and also have home ice for that series. Toronto’s still fighting for the division title and I think they show up and fight here. Give me Toronto.