Helmet, Clothing, Glove

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 1/20/25 NHL Picks

Pick details

Toronto Maple Leafs (29-16-2) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (25-16-3)

January 20, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -108 / Tampa Bay Lightning -112 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Ducks and Red Wings, and they play the Canadiens, Blackhawks, and Kings next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.66 goals per game and are scoring on 27.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 27 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 47 assists and Brandon Hagel has 129 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.77 goals per game and are killing 82.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 81 goals on 951 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 30 goals on 308 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Devils and Canadiens, and they play the Blue Jackets, Senators, and Wild next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.13 goals per game and are scoring 21.6 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 27 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 50 shots on goal and John Tavares has 125 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.85 goals per game and are killing 81.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 35 goals on 480 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 63 goals on 681 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won nine of their last 10 night games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Lightning have lost six of their last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have lost the second period in three of their last four games as underdogs following a home win.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last four night games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games following a road win.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last seven road games against the Maple Leafs following a home win.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games at Scotiabank Arena following a road win.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in four of their last five home games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only three teams to not play in a game that has gone to a shootout this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.26).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.35%).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be without Janis Moser, while Erik Cernak is questionable.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will be without John Tavares, Calle Jarnkrok, Jani Hakanpaa, and Anthony Stolarz.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

The Tampa Bay Lightning are more than capable of winning this game, but we’re getting a pick ’em price, I have to side with the Maple Leafs at home. Give me some plus money and I may consider Tampa Bay on the road. There’s no bang for my buck at this price. The Toronto Maple Leafs are also playing better hockey at the moment, with wins in seven of their last 10 games. The Leafs have scored 11 goals in their last two games. Also, the Maple Leafs are 2-0 against the Lightning this season, winning those games by a combined score of 10-5. I have to side with the Maple Leafs in this spot. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -108

Hot Cappers

Latest Picks & Game Previews

  • Indiana State vs Indiana Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 12, 2025

  • Colgate vs Syracuse Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 12, 2025

  • Colorado vs Houston Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 12, 2025

  • Kansas State vs Arizona Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 12, 2025

  • New Mexico vs UCLA Prediction 9/12/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 12, 2025

  • Clemson vs Georgia Tech Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 13, 2025

  • Houston Christian vs Nebraska Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 13, 2025

  • Wisconsin vs Alabama Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 13, 2025

  • Oregon vs Northwestern Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 13, 2025

  • Buffalo vs Kent State Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 13, 2025