Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 12/8/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Islanders and Penguins, and they play the Habs next. The Lightning have lost 3 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.14 goals per game and are scoring on 15.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 17 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 22 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 74 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.61 goals per game and are killing 86.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 43 goals on 509 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 26 goals on 249 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Hurricanes, lost to the Habs, and they play the Sharks next. The Maple Leafs have split their last 10 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.39 goals per game and are scoring 14.1 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 13 goals, William Nylander has 21 assists, and Auston Matthews has 85 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 81.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 41 goals on 353 shots faced, while Joseph Woll has given up 18 goals on 235 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six Monday games against the Lightning.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last three games.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in four of their last five home games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost nine of their last 10 night games after coming off overtime.
• The road team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games after coming off overtime.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against the Maple Leafs following a loss.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last four night games after coming off a shootout.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Lightning and Maple Leafs have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Ten of the Lightning’s last 12 night games against the Maple Leafs following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four night games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games at Scotiabank Arena following a shootout loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six road games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Nicolas Roy has recorded at least one assist in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 16 games against the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances.
• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances in road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for power play goals this season (10).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Period 2 this season (4).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.18).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

The Lightning went from being fish grease hot to dropping three straight games and struggling to find the back of the net. The Maple Leafs have played their best hockey on their home ice, and the fact they’ve snagged some road wins suggests this team is starting to figure some things out. The Maple Leafs have won 7 of the last 9 games against the Lightning, often having a field day on the offensive side. This is a chance for the Maple Leafs to prove they’ve turned their season around. Pick ’em spot, give me the home team in Toronto.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs