Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction 12/2/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders meet Tuesday in NHL action from the UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders prediction.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Rangers last time out to sit at 16-7-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head home for a game against the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Lightning Win 7 In A Row

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 32 points including 11 goals and 21 assists while Brandon Hagel has 27 points with 15 goals and 12 assists and Jake Guentzel has 27 points with 14 goals and 13 assists. Victor Hedman has 12 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 17 points with 9 goals and 8 assists. Brayden Point’s also added 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists and Darren Raddysh has 17 points with 9 goals and 8 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 11-5-2 with a 2.32 GAA and a .918 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 5-2 with a 2.91 GAA and an .895 save percentage this season.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Washington Capitals last time out to sit at 13-10-3 this season. After this game, the Islanders will square off against the Colorado Avalanche at home.

Islanders Lose 3 Straight

Bo Horvat has a team-high 26 points with a team-high 15 goals and 11 assists while Mathew Barzal has 18 points with 7 goals and 11 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 19 points with 8 goals and 11 assists and Anders Lee has 13 points with 5 goals and 8 assists. Emil Heineman has 16 points with 10 goals and 6 assists. J-G Pageau has 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists and Jonathan Drouin has 15 points with 12 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 7-8-2 with a 2.67 GAA and a .900 save percentage while David Rittich is 6-2-1 with a 2.61 GAA and a .901 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: December 2, 2025

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Islanders have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 14 of the Islanders’ last 16 games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in six of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last seven games.
• The Islanders have lost each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last nine road games.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight home games.
• The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight road games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Islanders’ last six games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Lightning’s last seven games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Lightning and Islanders.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Lightning’s last 10 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of the Islanders’ last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Islanders as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Matthew Schaefer has recorded a power play point in each of his last two appearances – equal-longest streak by any player since Steven Stamkos in 2023/24.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored the first goal in three of the Lightning’s last four games.
• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of his last six road appearances against the Islanders.
• Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.79%).
• The New York Islanders rank T1st in the league in short handed goals this season (5).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (88.75%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.60).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Prediction

I’m on Tampa Bay here. I get the case to be made for the Islanders as a home underdog, but you just have two teams headed in two different directions in this game and Tampa Bay isn’t a team I’m trying to step in front of right now. I think the Lightning grab the win here. Give me the Islanders.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay -135