Senators vs Capitals Prediction 10/25/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 25th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 3-4-1 this season after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Ottawa trailed 1-0 just 29 seconds into the game, but they scored once in the first period and once in the second for the low scoring win. The Senators out shot Philadelphia by a total of 33-23, won 44.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Amadio and Lycksell, while Ullmark stopped 22 out of 23 shots in the game, which was a .957 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa lost to the Oilers by a score of 3-2 and the Islanders by a score of 5-4. The Senators have lost two of their last three games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with seven points. Ottawa has scored 2.88 goals per game and they have allowed 4.25 goals against per game, while also going 21.4% on the power play and 62.1% on the penalty kill this season. Shane Pinto has led Ottawa with seven goals and one assist, while Dylan Cozens has added four goals and two assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 3-3-1 with a 3.41 goals against average and an .867 save percentage this season. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 6-2-0 this year after they defeated Columbus by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Washington had their lead cut to 3-1 in the third period, but they added two late goals to seal the win. The Capitals were out shot by a total of 35-30, won 53.2% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from McMichael, Ovechkin, Sourdif, Wilson, and Carlson, while Thompson stopped 34 out of 35 shots, which was a .971 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Washington defeated the Kraken by a score of 4-1, but did lose to the Canucks by a score of 4-3 before that. The Capitals have won six of their last seven games and they are currently tied for second in the Metro standings with 12 points. Washington has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 1.86 goals against per game, while also going 18.2% on the power play and 70.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tom Wilson has led Washington with five goals and six assists, while Dylan Strome has added two goals and eight assists. The projected starting goalie for Washington is Charlie Lindgren, who is 1-1-0 with a 2.04 goals against average and a .932 save percentage this year. 

Why the Washington Capitals will win

The Capitals have won each of their last six night games.
The Senators have lost 11 of their last 13 night games at Capital One Arena.
The Capitals have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine home games following a road win.
The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last four games as road underdogs when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Capitals’ last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Capital One Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Each of the Senators’ last eight night games against the Capitals following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven games at Capital One Arena.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Senators’ last four road games against opponents on a winning streak.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four home games.
Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in 10 of his last 11 appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

Shane Pinto has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last three road games.
Claude Giroux has recorded at least one point in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as road underdogs.
Drake Batherson has recorded at least one assist in five of the Senators’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Senators vs Capitals Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup as one of the hottest teams in the NHL and they have scored at least four goals in three of their last four games. The Capitals are 3-2-0 at home this year, while the Senators are 1-2-0 on the road. Ottawa has really struggled defensively to start this season and I think they are going to have more issues against this high scoring Washington team. Take the Capitals here, despite them being on a back to back.

David Racey's Pick: Capitals ML