Jan 16, 2026; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Red Wings center Michael Rasmussen (27) handles the puck against San Jose Sharks defenseman Sam Dickinson (6) during the second period at Little Caesars Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brian Bradshaw Sevald-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 10/17/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP San Jose Sharks Detroit Red Wings
Team Records 4-3 2-3
Spread +1.5 -218 -1.5 180
Moneyline +114 -135
Total Over 6.5 (-102) Under 6.5 (-118)
Where Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
When Saturday, October 17, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Sharks vs Red Wings Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 6 points this season with a 2-3-2 record and a 2-3-1 home record. They are 3-4 ATS and 3-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Flyers and will face the Kraken and Canucks next.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 2.29 goals per game and are scoring 16.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.86 goals per game and are killing 69.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex DeBrincat leads the Red Wings with 8 points, adding a team-high 4 goals and a team-high 4 assists. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 1-3-1 record, with 3.76 GAA and .863 SV%. Daniil Tarasov is the backup goalie and he has a 1-0-1 record, with 0.80 GAA and .965 SV%.

San Jose Sharks Preview

The Sharks have 8 points this season with a 4-3-0 record and a 2-1-0 road record. They are 4-3 ATS and 3-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 shootout road win against the Predators and will face the Maple Leafs and Canadiens next.

Offensively, the Sharks are averaging 2.57 goals per game and are scoring 20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.57 goals per game and are killing 81.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Macklin Celebrini leads the Sharks with 8 points, adding a team-high 6 assists, while Will Smith leads the team in goals with 3. Yaroslav Askarov is the starting goalie for the Sharks, and he has a 2-3-0 record, with 3.99 GAA and .848 SV%. Alex Nedeljkovic is the backup goalie and he has a 2-0-0 record, with 1.90 GAA and .933 SV%.

San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends: October 17, 2026

 

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

  • The Sharks have lost five of their last six road games following a road win.
  • The Red Wings have won nine of their last 12 home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games following a road win.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 21 home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents at Little Caesars Arena when trailing after the first period.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

  • The Red Wings have lost each of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
  • The Sharks have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Red Wings’ last 10 games.
  • The Sharks have won the first period in each of their last four night games following a road win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Four of the Sharks’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Red Wings’ last five games as home favorites following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight Saturday night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last 12 games following a win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 13 of the Sharks’ last 14 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Lucas Raymond has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Red Wings’ last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Alex DeBrincat is the only player in the league to have recorded 3+ shots in six or more consecutive appearances this season.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

  • Collin Graf has scored a goal in each of the Sharks’ last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Alexander Wennberg has recorded an assist in each of his last five road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Macklin Celebrini ranks T1st in the Western Conference for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.29).
  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (69.57%).
  • The San Jose Sharks rank T26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.57).
  • The San Jose Sharks rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.57).

Sharks vs Red Wings Prediction

The Red Wings are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Sharks but have lost two of their last three meetings in Detroit.

In this Sharks vs Red Wings Prediction, the Red Wings are coming as -130 home favorites. I don’t trust either team in this matchup, as both have won once in their last four and three games respectively and both have been struggling offensively, averaging just 4.86 goals per game combined. The Red Wings are also on the top half of the league defensively and both teams are 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games combined while both their meetings last season had 6 and 5 total goals. Take the under 6.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 6.5

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