Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction 4/17/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Wings vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, April 17th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 39-35-7 this year after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Detroit led 3-0 early in the third period, but after allowing two goals, they needed two late ones to put the game away. The Red Wings were outshot by a total of 30-27, won 46.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from Berggren, Compher, DeBrincat, Kasper, and Larkin, while Lyon stopped 28 out of 30 shots in the game.

Prior to that game, the Red Wings defeated the Stars by a score of 6-4 and the Lightning by a score of 4-3. Detroit has won five of their last seven games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 85 points. Detroit has scored 2.84 goals per game and they have allowed 3.16 goals against per game, while also going 27.3% on the power play and 70% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 27 goals, 51 assists, and 189 shots on goal, while Alex DeBrincat has added 37 goals, 31 assists, and 235 shots on goal. Petr Mrazek is 2-2-0 with a 2.49 goals against average and a .902 save percentage this year. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 51-26-4 this season after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 4-0 in their last game. Toronto scored once in the second period and added three goals in the final five minutes of the third to pull away in the win. The Maple Leafs were outshot by a total of 35-32, won 50.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Lorentz, Marner, Matthews, and Robertson, while Stolarz stopped all 35 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Maple Leafs defeated the Hurricanes by a score of 4-1 and the Canadiens by a score of 1-0. Toronto has won four games in a row and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 106 points. Toronto has scored 3.25 goals per game and they have allowed 2.79 goals against per game, while also going 25% on the power play and 78.1% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 27 goals, 73 assists, and 173 shots on goal, while William Nylander has added 45 goals, 39 assists, and 253 shots on goal. Joseph Woll is 26-14-1 with a 2.72 goals against average and a .909 save percentage this year. 

Why the Red Wings will beat the Maple Leafs

• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 12 games at Scotiabank Arena.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home night games following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Mitch Marner has scored a goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games at Scotiabank Arena.

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row, but the most important thing for them is to stay healthy, as they already are the #1 seed in the Atlantic. The Maple Leafs are 26-13-1 at home this year, while the Red Wings are 17-19-4 on the road. Detroit has played better over the last two weeks, but they will be on a back to back here. Toronto is the much better team in this matchup, but this is a meaningless game and I think they could rest some players, so I will take the Red Wings to finish the season with a win.