Jan 19, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Pittsburgh Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87) advances the puck against the Seattle Kraken during the first period at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Penguins vs Flames Prediction 1/21/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Pittsburgh Penguins Calgary Flames
Team Records 23-14-11 21-23-5
Spread -1.5 215 +1.5 -265
Moneyline -118 -102
Total Over 5.5 (-130) Under 5.5 (110)
Where Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
When Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Time 09:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Flames prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, January 21st at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 23-14-11 this season after they defeated Seattle by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Pittsburgh had their lead cut to 4-3 in the third period, but they scored the last two goals to seal the victory. The Penguins out shot Seattle by a total of 32-23, won 56.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Brazeau, Dewar (2), Rakell, Kulak, and Wotherspoon, while Clifton led the team with four hits in the win. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 4-3, but did defeat the Flyers by a score of 6-3 before that. The Penguins have lost four of their last six games and they are currently third in the Metro standings with 57 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.23 goals per game and they have allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 28.0% on the power play and 83.1% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 26 goals and 29 assists, while Bryan Rust has added 17 goals and 20 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Stuart Skinner, who is 5-4-0 with a 2.49 goals against average and an .898 save percentage for the Penguins this season. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 21-23-5 this year after they lost to New Jersey in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Calgary tied the game at one in the second period, but they couldn’t find anymore offense, before losing in overtime. The Flames were out shot by a total of 32-22, won 35.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Calgary got their lone goal from Kadri, while Bahl led the team with four hits in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Calgary defeated the Islanders by a score of 4-2 and the Blackhawks by a score of 3-1. The Flames have won three of their last five games and they are currently seventh in the Pacific standings with 47 points. Calgary has scored 2.55 goals per game and they have allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 14.9% on the power play and 83.0% on the penalty kill this season. Nazem Kadri has led Calgary with nine goals and 25 assists, while Mikael Backlund has added 12 goals and 19 assists. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Dustin Wolf, who is 15-19-2 with a 2.98 goals against average and a .900 save percentage this year. 

Why the Calgary Flames will win

  • The Penguins have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Flames have won five of their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Penguins.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Penguins have lost the third period in four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

    Total Goals Facts

    • Each of the Flames’ last five home games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • Four of the Penguins’ last five games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Penguins’ last seven road games.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 10 of the Flames’ last 11 games after coming off overtime.

    Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

    • Mikael Backlund has recorded an assist in three of the Flames’ last four games as underdogs.
    • Nazem Kadri has scored at least one goal in each of the Flames’ last three games against the Penguins at Scotiabank Saddledome.

    Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

    • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in five of the Penguins’ last six games against Pacific Division opponents.
    • Bryan Rust has scored a goal in three of his last four road appearances against the Flames.

    Penguins vs Flames Prediction 

    Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after winning two of their last three games, but they have gone to overtime in two of their last four. The Penguins are 12-7-4 on the road this year, while the Flames are 13-7-3 at home. Calgary has also won two of their last three games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five. Both teams have been very competitive in recent games, but Calgary has been very strong on home ice. Take the Flames to get the win here.

    David Racey's Pick: Flames ML

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