Penguins vs Bruins Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, January 11th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 21-13-9 this season after they lost to Calgary by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Pittsburgh tied the game at one in the second period, but they allowed the only goal of the third for the loss. The Penguins out shot Calgary by a total of 28-25, won 56.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got their lone goal from Chinakhov, while Silovs stopped 23 out of 25 shots, which was a .920 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Devils by a score of 4-1 and the Blue Jackets by a score of 5-4. The Penguins have won six of their last seven games and they are currently fifth in the Metro standings with 51 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.29 goals per game and they have allowed 3.02 goals against per game, while also going 29.8% on the power play and 81.0% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby has led Pittsburgh with 24 goals and 25 assists, while Bryan Rust has added 16 goals and 20 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Stuart Skinner, who is 3-3-0 with a 2.56 goals against average and an .893 save percentage for the Penguins this season. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 24-19-2 this year after they defeated the Rangers by a score of 10-2 in their last game. Boston trailed 1-0 early in the first period, but they scored 10 of the last 11 goals in the blowout win. The Bruins out shot New York by a total of 34-29, won 48.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Khusnutdinov (4), Minten (2), Zacha (3), and McAvoy, while Swayman stopped 27 out of 29 shots, which was a .931 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Boston defeated the Flames by a score of 4-1, but lost to the Kraken by a score of 7-4 before that. The Bruins have won four of their last five games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 50 points. Boston has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 3.25 goals against per game, while also going 25.6% on the power play and 79.3% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 19 goals and 36 assists, while Morgan Geekie has added 25 goals and 16 assists. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 7-8-0 with a 3.42 goals against average and an .888 save percentage this year. 

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Penguins’ last six games.
• The Penguins have lost three of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last six games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last four games following a loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Bruins’ last 11 night games at TD Garden following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last five night games at TD Garden following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last nine games at TD Garden.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last five road games.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents at TD Garden.
• Casey Mittelstadt has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances with the Bruins as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.

Penguins vs Bruins Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after scoring 10 goals in their win over the Rangers on Saturday, and they are looking for their third straight win here. The Bruins are 14-8-1 at home this year, while the Penguins are 11-6-4 on the road. Pittsburgh also played on Saturday, but they lost a low scoring game against the Flames. The Penguins have been hot over the last two weeks, but Boston is playing just as well right now and they are at home. Boston has allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five and they have scored 18 goals in their last three. Take the Bruins to get the win at home in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Bruins ML