Oilers vs Stars Prediction 5/21/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, May 21st at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the Western Conference Finals. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers defeated the Vegas Golden Knights in five games in the second round of the playoffs by scores of 4-2, 5-4, 3-4, 3–0, and 1-0. In their game five win, Edmonton played very strong defense and finally scored seven minutes into overtime for the win. The Oilers outshot Vegas by a total of 33-24, won 46.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got their lone goal from Kapanen, while Hyman led the team with 13 hits in the win. Stuart Skinner stopped all 24 shots that he faced in the shutout win. 

Prior to that series, the Oilers defeated the Kings in the first round by scores of 5-6, 2-6, 7-4, 4-3, 3-1, and 6-4. Edmonton was down 2-0 in the series and they trailed by two goals in game three, but they were able to rally and win four in a row to advance. Edmonton has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 78.2% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with three goals, 14 assists, and 43 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added five goals, 11 assists, and 33 shots on goal. Stuart Skinner is 2-3 with a 3.05 goals against average and an .884 save percentage in the playoffs. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars defeated the Winnipeg Jets in six games in the second round of the playoffs by scores of 3-2, 0-4, 5-2, 3-1, 0-4, and 2-1. In their game six win, Dallas tied the game at one halfway through the second period and survived a few pushes from Winnipeg in the third. The Stars went on the power play late in regulation and they scored on that power play just 1:33 into overtime for the series win. The Stars were outshot by a total of 23-20, won 64% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Steel and Harley, while Marchment and Benn added six hits a piece. Jake Oettinger stopped 22 out of 23 shots in the game, which was a .957 save percentage. 

Prior to that series, the Stars defeated the Avalanche in seven games by scores of 1-5, 4-3, 2-1, 0-4, 6-2, 4-7, and 4-2. Dallas battled very hard in that series with Colorado and erased a 2-0 deficit in the third period of game seven to advance. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with nine goals, 10 assists, and 39 shots on goal, while Thomas Harley has added four goals, seven assists, and 24 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 8-5 with a 2.47 goals against average and a .919 save percentage in the playoffs. 

Why the Stars will beat the Oilers 

• The Stars have won each of their last six home games.
• The Oilers have lost 10 of their last 13 Game 1s of a playoff series.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last nine night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Oilers have lost the third period in each of their last four games at American Airlines Center when leading after the second period.

Why the Oilers will beat the Stars 

• The Oilers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites.
• The Oilers have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 games as favorites.
• The Stars have lost the first period in four of their last five night games following an overtime win.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Stars’ last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Oilers’ last eight night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last nine night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 14 of the Oilers’ last 15 games against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in each of his four previous playoff appearances against the Oilers.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Thomas Harley has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last eight playoff games at American Airlines Center.
• Wyatt Johnston has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Stars this season (3).

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Zach Hyman has scored at least one goal in five of the Oilers’ last six Game 1s of a playoff series.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in 13 of the Oilers’ last 14 games against Central Division opponents.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Oilers’ last 14 games against Central Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for multi-point games (36) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Edmonton Oilers rank T3rd in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (4).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank T4th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.91).

Oilers vs Stars Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in the NHL, as they have won eight of their last nine games. The Oilers were able to shutout Vegas in their last two games and they are playing with a ton of confidence. Dallas eliminated the one seed in the West last round, but they had times where they struggled to slow down Winnipeg’s scoring chances. I know Oettinger was outstanding in that series, but I don’t know if he can continue playing at that level. Edmonton is fully rested and I think we are going to see their offense have a big game. Take the over here.