New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals Prediction 2/2/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Islanders vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, February 2nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 61 points this season with a 27-22-7 record, and are 29-27 ATS and 28-26 in over/under. They have a 15-10-3 home record and a 12-12-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home overtime win over the Hurricanes, and their previous three games were a 4-3 road shootout win over the Red Wings, a 5-1 road loss to the Kraken, and a 6-5 road overtime loss to the Oilers.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.18 goals per game and are scoring 16.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 78.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads the Capitals with 47 points and 22 goals, while John Carlson leads the team in assists with 35. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 18-16-4 record, with 2.46 GAA and .912 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-3 record, with 3.37 GAA and .884 SV%.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have 65 points this season with a 30-20-5 record, and are 28-27 ATS and 24-29 in over/under. They have a 15-10-2 home record and a 15-10-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home loss by the Predators, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road win over the Rangers, a 5-2 home win over the Rangers, and a 4-0 road win over the Flyers.

Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 2.84 goals per game and are scoring 16.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.69 goals per game and are killing 81.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mathew Barzal leads the Islanders with 46 points and 32 assists, while Bo Horvat leads the team in goals with 21. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 18-13-2 record, with 2.44 GAA and .916 SV%. David Rittich is the backup goalie and he has a 12-7-3 record, with 2.54 GAA and .901 SV%.

New York Islanders @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: February 2, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last 12 Monday home games.
• The Islanders have lost six of their last seven games at Capital One Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last nine home games following an overtime win.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Capitals have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Islanders have won each of their last seven night games following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 15 of the Islanders’ last 16 games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Islanders have won the second period in eight of their last nine night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Islanders’ last 11 road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Capitals’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last eight games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Capitals’ last 16 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Aliaksei Protas has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Aliaksei Protas has scored three goals against the Islanders this season – most against any opponent.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Jean-Gabriel Pageau has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Capitals.
• Calum Ritchie has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances in road games.
• Bo Horvat has recorded two assists against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.27%).
• The Washington Capitals rank T29th in the league in short handed goals this season (1).
• The New York Islanders rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.69).
• The New York Islanders rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.17%).

Islanders vs Capitals Prediction

The Capitals are 2-1 in their three meetings against the Islanders this season, having lost their only meeting in Washington by 3-1. They are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Islanders but both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Washington.

In this Islanders vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -130 home favorites. The Islanders have more points and overall wins than the Caps and are 3-1 in their last 4 games, while the Caps have back-to-back wins. I don’t see value on either side but both teams are playing great defense this season, allowing 5.64 goals per game combined and none of their three meetings this season had more than six total goals. Take the under 6.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 6