New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The New Jersey Devils and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

New Jersey Devils Recap

The New Jersey Devils come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-3 loss to start the year against the Carolina Hurricanes last time out to start 0-1. After this game, the New Jersey Devils will head on the road for a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Devils Looking For Tighter Defense In Game Two

Carolina opened the scoring with a goal just over four minutes into the game, with the lone goal of the opening period. Dougie Hamilton would get New Jersey on the board just 8:15 into the second period, but the tie would last just 1:08 before Carolina re-took the lead. Cody Glass would once again tie things up for New Jersey with just over six minutes to go in the second period. Carolina restored the lead just past the midway point of the third and the Devils once again tied the game at three with a goal from Jesper Bratt just 1:17 later. The Hurricanes would take the lead for good with a goal with 2:43 to go and added two more goals including an empty-netter, across the last minute of the game to add salt into New Jersey’s wound. Jacob Markstrom took the loss after allowing 5 goals on 32 shots faced in the losing effort to drop to 0-1 this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-4 season-opening loss at the hands of the Ottawa Senators last time out to sit at 0-1 this season. After this game, the Lightning will head on the road for a game against the Boston Bruins.

Lightning Looking For Better Showing In Game Two

Tampa Bay started the game strong with goals from Oliver Bjorkstrand and Brayden Point 1:25 apart in the first seven minutes of the game before Ottawa would get on the board just after the midway point of the opening period. Nikita Kucherov would restore Tampa Bay’s two-goal lead with just over five minutes to go in the first. Ottawa would tie the game at three by the second intermission and that 3-3 tie would hold until the waning moments of the third before Ottawa took a 4-3 lead with 1:47 to go and added an empty-netter for insurance with 48 seconds to go. Nikita Kucherov pulled one back with 14 seconds to go but it ended up being just a consolation goal as that’s as close as the Bolts would get. Andrei Vasilevskiy ended up with the loss, falling to 0-1 after allowing 4 goals on 33 shots faced in the defeat.

New Jersey Devils @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: October 11, 2025

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last seven games against the Devils following a loss.
• The Devils have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Devils have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Devils have lost the third period in each of their last six games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.

Why the New Jersey Devils will win

• The Devils have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last six night games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the last nine games between the Devils and Lightning.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last six night games.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Lightning’s last 11 home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Devils’ last five road games against the Lightning following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Devils’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight night games against opponents on a losing streak.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored the last goal in three of the Lightning’s last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last six games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 24 home appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Lightning as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

• Jack Hughes has scored a goal in each of his last five road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nico Hischier has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances with the Devils as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jack Hughes has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Luke Hughes ranks T3rd in the league for multi-assist game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (66.67%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T27th in the league for goals against per game this season (5.00).
• The New Jersey Devils rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (6.00).
• The New Jersey Devils rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).

New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. I was just more impressed with the Lightning in two teams that both took an L in their respective openers, and I think the Lightning still have a significant edge in goal. Tampa is one of the tougher home environments in the NHL and I think Tampa Bay gets in the win column with a W here. Give me Tampa Bay in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay -145