Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 4/12/25 NHL Picks

The Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview 

The Montreal Canadiens beat the Red Wings, lost to the Senators, and they play the Blackhawks and Hurricanes next. The Habs have won six of their last seven games. 

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 2.99 goals per game and are scoring 20.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 37 goals, Nick Suzuki has 58 assists, and Mike Matheson has 147 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.23 goals per game and are killing 81.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cayden Primeau has given up 41 goals on 250 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 161 goals on 1,623 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Panthers, beat the Lightning, and they play the Hurricanes, Sabres, and Red Wings next. The Maple Leafs have won nine of their last 12 games and are closing in on an Atlantic title. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.26 goals per game and are scoring 26 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 44 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 72 shots on goal, and Auston Matthews has 247 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 71 goals on 905 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 107 goals on 1,156 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last six night games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in four of their last five home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Canadiens have lost the second period in each of their last four night games at Scotiabank Arena.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won nine of their last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have lost two of their last three games as home favorites following an overtime win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games following a road win.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in five of their last six games as favorites at Scotiabank Arena when trailing after the second period.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report 

The Maple Leafs won’t have Jani Hakanpaa, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and Jake McCabe. David Kampf is questionable. 

The Canadiens will be without Rafael Harvey-Pinard, Ivan Demidov, and Emil Heineman.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

The Maple Leafs are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home as they’re the more talented team and are closing in on a division title. The Maple Leafs have also won seven of the last 10 games against the Habs. The line is what it is for a reason. However, this line is a bit inflated and there’s value with the Canadiens, as they’ve won six of their last seven games and are a playoff caliber team. You just don’t often get a team this hot and this respectable and a chance to make two times your money. I’m going to take a shot with the Canadiens.