Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 1/19/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Minnesota Wild and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Minnesota Wild Recap

The Minnesota Wild come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 OT win over Buffalo last time out to sit at 27-13-9 this season. After this game, Minnesota will head on the road for a game against Montreal.

Wild Snap Three-Game Slide

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild in scoring with 55 points including 25 goals and a team-high 30 assists while Matt Boldy has 51 points including a team-high 27 goals and 24 assists. Marcus Johansson has 34 points with 13 goals and 21 assists. Joel Eriksson Ek has 32 points with 11 goals and 21 assists while Brock Faber has 28 points with 10 goals and 18 assists. Filip Gustavsson’s gone 15-9-5 with a 2.55 GAA and a .910 save percentage while Jesper Wallstedt is 12-4-4 with a 2.64 GAA and a .916 save percentage in goal for Minnesota this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 OT win over Winnipeg last time out to sit at 24-16-8 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on the Detroit Red Wings at home.

Maple Leafs Snap Two-Game Slide

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 48 points on 17 goals and a team-high 31 assists while John Tavares has 42 points with 17 goals and 25 assists and Matthew Knies has 40 points with 12 goals and 28 assists. Auston Matthews has 40 points with 24 goals and 16 assists and Morgan Rielly has 29 points with 23 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 31 points with 23 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 11-4-3 with a 2.73 GAA and a .914 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.96 GAA and a .910 save percentage this season.

Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: January 19, 2026

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven home games.
• The Wild have lost five of their last six night games.
• The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last five home games.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The Wild have won each of their last five games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last six games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites following a road win.
• The Wild have won the first period in each of their last five night games following an overtime win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Wild’s last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Wild and Maple Leafs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in nine of the Wild’s last 10 games following an overtime win.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against the Wild.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
• Nicolas Roy has recorded 11 career assists against the Wild – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Hartman has scored a goal in each of the Wild’s last three road games.
• Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.25%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.38).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.67%).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 7th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.80).

Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. Toronto has posted the most points in the NHL by any team since the day before the Christmas Break, and a lot of their success this season has come at home. Minnesota’s been iffy as of late, and I think this is a Maple Leafs spot to get the job done here. Give me Toronto in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -135