Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars Prediction 4/28/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Wild vs Stars Prediction for Game 5 of this NHL Western Conference Quarterfinal on Tuesday, April 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars finished the regular season with 112 points with a 50-20-12 record and were placed 2nd in the Central Division. They have a 26-11-4 home record and are coming off a 2-3 road overtime loss to the Wild. Their previous three games were a 4-3 road double overtime win over the Wild, a 4-2 home win over the Wild, and a 1-6 home loss to the Wild.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 28.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.71 goals per game and are killing 80.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 96 points and 45 goals, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with 55. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 35-12-6 record, with 2.59 GAA and .899 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 15-8-6 record, with 2.43 GAA and .907 SV%. Check out another game tonight between the Sabres and Bruins. 

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild finished the regular season with 104 points with a 46-24-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Central Division. They have a 23-14-4 road record and are coming off a 3-2 home overtime win over the Stars. Their previous three games were a 3-4 home double overtime loss to the Stars, a 2-4 road loss to the Stars, and a 6-1 road win over the Stars.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.27 goals per game and are scoring 25.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 79.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 89 points and 45 goals, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 48. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 28-15-6 record, with 2.69 GAA and .904 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 18-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .916 SV%.

Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: April 28, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last seven night games.
• The Wild have lost seven of their last eight night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in four of their last five night games against Central Division opponents.
• The Wild have lost the second period in nine of their last 10 night games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The Wild have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have lost five of their last six games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 home games after coming off overtime.
• The Wild have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Wild have won the first period in each of their last four games following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Wild’s last eight road games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six night games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last eight night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight night games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last seven playoff games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his six previous appearances in Game 5s of a Western Conference First Round series.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (27) this season.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Boldy has scored at least one goal in four of the Wild’s last five road playoff games.
• Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Wild as underdogs.
• Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.63%).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.19%).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).

Wild vs Stars Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Dallas.

In this Wild vs Stars Prediction, the Oilers are coming as -130 home favorites. The series is tied to 2-2 wins so whoever wins today needs only one more win to advance. The Stars lost at home in the opening game of the series and I don’t expect them to lose again in such an important matchup. They have been dominating the Wild at home in recent years and I like them in a bounce-back spot at home today since they lost Game 4 in Minnesota on Saturday. Take the Stars on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Dallas Stars ML