Pick details
| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Lightning | Columbus Blue Jackets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Spread | -1.5 195 | +1.5 -238 |
| Moneyline | -118 | -102 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115) |
| Where | Nationwide Arena, Columbus, OH | |
| When | Thursday, November 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Lightning vs Blue Jackets Prediction
I considered the Lightning and the low price, as you don’t get this chance often. However, the Lightning are on the end of a back-to-back, and they have been vulnerable on the road. The Blue Jackets are rested and have seen six of their seven wins this season come on their home ice.
There’s also confidence here with the Blue Jackets winning the last three games against the Lightning. The Lightning are the better team, but this is a spot where I’ll lean toward rest, home ice, and history. Give me the Blue Jackets in this pick em spot.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Sabres, lost to the Jets, and they play the Red Wings next. The Lightning have won 5 of their last 7 games. The Lightning are 3-4-2 SU on the road, 8-0-0 SU at home, and 8-9 ATS on the season.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.71 goals per game and are scoring on 19.4 percent of their power-play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads the Lightning with 10 goals, 8 assists, and 47 shots. Brandon Hagel has 9 goals, 9 assists, and 65 shots. Pontus Holmberg has 6 goals, 7 assists, and 31 shots. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 72.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 37 goals on 317 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has allowed 12 goals on 100 shots.
Columbus Blue Jackets Betting Preview
The Columbus Blue Jackets lost to the Sabres and Panthers, and they play the Flyers next. The Blue Jackets have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Blue Jackets are 1-5-0 SU on the road, 6-4-0 SU at home, and 7-9 ATS on the season.
The Columbus Blue Jackets are averaging 2.53 goals per game and are scoring on 17.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Kent Johnson leads the Blue Jackets with 8 goals, 8 assists, and 34 shots. Cole Sillinger has 4 goals, 4 assists, and 26 shots. Denton Mateychuk has 4 goals, 3 assists, and 29 shots. Defensively, the Columbus Blue Jackets are allowing 3.13 goals per game and are killing 75.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jet Greaves has allowed 26 goals on 216 shots faced, and Cam Talbot has given up 21 goals on 230 shots.
Lightning vs Blue Jackets Injury Report
The Blue Jackets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Lightning will be without Brayden Point with a lower-body injury.
Why the Columbus Blue Jackets will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The underdogs have won four of the Blue Jackets’ last five games at Nationwide Arena.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Blue Jackets’ last eight games at Nationwide Arena.
- The Blue Jackets have won the second period in five of their last six games at Nationwide Arena when trailing after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Blue Jackets have lost six of their last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Lightning have won five of their last six night games.
- The Blue Jackets have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have won the third period in eight of their last nine road games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last seven road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Lightning and Blue Jackets have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 12 of the Lightning’s last 13 night games.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Blue Jackets’ last three home games against the Lightning.
Columbus Blue Jackets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Monahan has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Lightning.
- Zach Werenski has recorded at least one assist in each of the Blue Jackets’ last five games against the Lightning at Nationwide Arena.
- Kent Johnson ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games at Nationwide Arena.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last seven games as favorites against the Blue Jackets.
- Brandon Hagel ranks T6th in the league for Goals (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Columbus Blue Jackets rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (0.50).
- The Columbus Blue Jackets rank 31st in the league for power play goals this season (7).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.848).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning has scored 4+ goals in 12 games this season – equal-most in the NHL.


