Kraken vs Lightning Prediction 3/26/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Kraken vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 26th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Seattle Kraken Betting Preview

The Seattle Kraken are 31-29-10 this season after they lost to the Panthers in a shootout by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Seattle trailed 4-1 in the third period, but they scored three times in the last six minutes, before losing in the shootout. The Kraken out shot Florida by a total of 27-24, won 58.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Seattle got goals from Beniers, Eberle, McMann, and Evans, while Daccord stopped 21 out of 24 shots, which was an .875 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Seattle lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 5-2 and the Predators by a score of 3-1. The Kraken have lost four games in a row and they are currently fifth in the Pacific standings with 72 points. Seattle has scored 2.84 goals per game and they have allowed 3.04 goals against per game, while also going 21.1% on the power play and 73.9% on the penalty kill this season. Jordan Eberle has led Seattle with 23 goals and 28 assists, while Matty Beniers has added 19 goals and 26 assists. The projected starting goalie for Seattle is Joey Daccord, who is 19-18-6 with a 2.92 goals against average and a .901 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 44-21-5 this year after they defeated the Wild by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 3-1 in the second period, but they scored the last five goals to pull away with the win. The Lightning out shot Minnesota by a total of 25-24, won 47.5% of the face-offs, and went 3-4 on the power play in the game. TB got goals from Guentzel, Hagel, Holmberg, Point, Cernak, and Raddysh, while Vasilevskiy stopped 21 out of 24 shots, which was an .875 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay lost to the Flames by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Oilers by a score of 5-2 before that. The Lightning have won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 93 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.61 goals per game and they have allowed 2.76 goals against per game, while also going 23.0% on the power play and 81.7% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 40 goals and 80 assists, while Jake Guentzel has added 32 goals and 42 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 34-12-3 with a 2.30 goals against average and a .914 save percentage this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Kraken have lost six of their last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Kraken have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five Thursday road games.
• The Kraken have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs when trailing after the second period.

Why the Seattle Kraken will win

• The Kraken have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a shootout loss.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last two games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Kraken have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as underdogs after coming off a shootout.
• The Lightning have lost the first period in four of their last five games as favorites following a win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Thirteen of the Kraken’s last 15 games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Kraken’s last eight games as underdogs following a shootout loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six games as favorites against the Kraken.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

Seattle Kraken Player Prop Facts

• Bobby McMann has scored a goal in each of the Kraken’s last three games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jordan Eberle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Kraken’s last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Kraken vs Lightning Prediction

Seattle comes into this matchup looking to snap a four game losing streak, as they are drifting further away from a playoff spot. The Kraken are 14-15-5 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 21-12-0 at home. Tampa Bay has won four of their last five games and they have scored at least five goals in all four of those wins. The Lightning are playing very well over the last two weeks and Seattle is trending in the wrong direction. Take TB -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Lightning -1.5