Pick details
| MATCHUP | Cleveland Guardians | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 85-77 | 84-78 |
| Spread | -1.5 167 | +1.5 -204 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 8 (-104) | Under 8 (-116) |
| Where | Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Wednesday, October 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | TBS | |
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians need a win to force a game 4 on Thursday. The Guardians haven’t won a game since September 26. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .115 in these playoffs, have a .217 OBP, and a .180 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Chase DeLauter leads the Cleveland Guardians with 2 hits and 0 RBI, while Patrick Bailey and Steven Kwan have combined for 2 hits and 0 RBI.
Daniel Espino gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 0-0 with a 4.11 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Espino is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago White Sox. Espino is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Chicago White Sox Betting Preview
The Chicago White Sox look to make the ALCS for the first time since 2005. The White Sox haven’t lost a game since September 26. The Chicago White Sox are batting .235 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and have a .326 slugging percentage. The Chicago White Sox pitching staff has a 1.75 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. Chase Meidroth leads the Chicago White Sox with 6 hits and 5 RBI, while Kyle Teel and Munetaka Murakami have combined for 8 hits and 5 RBI.
Sean Newcomb gets the ball for the Chicago White Sox, and he is 2-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Newcomb is 0-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians. Newcomb is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won eight of their last nine games against AL opponents.
- The Guardians have lost six of their last seven road playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road playoff games.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five playoff games as road underdogs.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The White Sox have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL opponents following a road win.
- The Guardians have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last nine games.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL opponents following a road win.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the White Sox’s last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the White Sox’s last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Guardians’ last five games.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Sam Antonacci has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Wednesday appearances at Rate Field.
- Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in each of the White Sox’s last two home games.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jo Adell has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.382) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The White Sox rank 5th in the league for home runs this season (211).
- The White Sox rank 5th in the league for RBIs this season (740).
- The Guardians rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.380).
- The Guardians rank 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1271).
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Both teams are rolling with an opener, so this has a chance to get wild with all of the pitching changes. However, those who have followed along all year know I’ve been backing the White Sox nonstop while oddsmakers kept giving them disrespectful lines. The White Sox were the third most profitable team in the regular season, and they’re comfortably the most profitable team in the playoffs due to four underdog wins. I don’t know why anybody would fade this team, especially with the low prices.
Even on the brink of an ALCS bid, the White Sox are still at best getting pick-em prices. It’s disrespectful, folks. We’ve had a large enough sample size. It’s time to admit the White Sox are good and not just a Disney story. Give me the White Sox.


