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Hockey Club vs Lightning Prediction 3/27/25 NHL Picks

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Tampa Bay Lightning (41-25-5) vs Utah Hockey Club (32-28-11)

March 27, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -200 / Utah Hockey Club +165 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Hockey Club vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 27th at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Utah Hockey Club Betting Preview

The Utah Hockey Club are 32-28-11 this year after they lost to Detroit by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Utah led 1-0 early in the first period, but they allowed the last five goals in the game for the loss. The Hockey Club outshot Detroit by a total of 19-14, won 62.5% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Utah got their lone goal from Guenther, while Vejmelka stopped nine out of 13 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Hockey Club defeated the Lightning by a score of 6-4 and the Sabres by a score of 5-2. Utah has won three of their last five games, and they are currently sixth in the Central standings with 75 points. Utah has scored 2.85 goals per game, and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 22.3% on the power play and 80.7% on the penalty kill this season. Clayton Keller has led Utah with 24 goals, 54 assists, and 188 shots on goal, while Nick Schmaltz has added 17 goals, 40 assists, and 160 shots on goal. Karel Vejmelka is 21-19-6 with a 2.56 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this year. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 41-25-5 this season after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 6-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored the first six goals in the game, but they did allow a goal late in the third to ruin the shutout. The Lightning outshot Pittsburgh by a total of 27-15, won 42.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Cirelli (2), Hagel, Kucherov, Point, and McDonagh, while Vasilevskiy stopped 14 out of 15 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Lightning lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 4-2 and to the Hockey Club by a score of 6-4. Tampa Bay has won four of their last six games, and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 87 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.51 goals per game, and they have allowed 2.68 goals against per game, while also going 25.7% on the power play and 82.1% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 31 goals, 70 assists, and 227 shots on goal, while Brandon Hagel has added 33 goals, 46 assists, and 207 shots on goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 34-19-3 with a 2.25 goals against average and a .920 save percentage this year. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Hockey Club 

  • The Lightning have won each of their last nine Thursday games at Amalie Arena.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games at Amalie Arena.
  • Utah has failed to cover the puck line in nine of its last 11 games following a home loss.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in eight of their last nine night games at Amalie Arena.

Total Goals Facts

  • Six of the Lightning’s last seven night games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Thirteen of Utah’s 17 previous games as an underdog following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of Utah’s last five games as an underdog.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the Lightning’s last four night games at Amalie Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Cirelli has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five home games against Central Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in 23 of his last 24 appearances with the Lightning as home favorites.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last seven games against Central Division opponents.

Utah Hockey Club Player Prop Facts

  • Clayton Keller has recorded at least one point in 10 of Utah’s last 11 games as an underdog.
  • Clayton Keller has recorded an assist in each of Utah’s last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.

David Racey is 10-3 (77%) in the NHL over his last nine plays. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Hockey Club vs Lightning Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup after dominating the Penguins in their last game, but they will be looking to get revenge for their 6-4 loss to Utah on March 22nd. The Lightning are 25-8-2 at home this year, while the Hockey Club are 17-14-4 on the road. Utah has won two of their last three games, but they played very poorly in the last two periods of their last game against the Red Wings. Utah has been very competitive this season, but they have had some struggles over their last 11 games. Tampa Bay is an elite home team, and I like them to win by at least two goals. 

David Racey's Pick: Lightning -1.5

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