Thunder vs Rockets Prediction 10/31/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Thunder vs Rockets Prediction

The Rockets are on the end of a back-to-back, and it’s always intriguing to see free points with the Thunder. You rarely get OKC in the underdog role. However, the Thunder have a lengthy injury report that includes Caruso, Holmgren, Williams, and Wallace. While still deep and led by an MVP, there’s only so much a team can overcome. A good team that’s playing well like the Rockets should have the advantage in this spot and bounce back at home.

Losing here after losing to the Mavs last night would erase a lot of the positive the Rockets have done up to this point. The line is reasonable. I’m going to lay the points with the Rockets.

Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Suns, lost to the Mavs, and they play the Cavs next. The Thunder have won 23 of their last 27 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 108.2 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 104.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 26 points and 3.4 assists, while Ajay Mitchell is averaging 18.6 points and 3.4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared McCain is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Bucks, lost to the Mavs, and they play the Celtics next. The Rockets have won 14 of their last 16 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 121 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Alperen Sengun is averaging 24.5 points and 9 rebounds, while Kevin Durant is averaging 22.4 points and 6.2 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won 15 of their last 17 home games after losing as favorites.
• The Thunder have lost eight of their last 10 night games at Toyota Center.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 13 road games after losing as favorites.
• The Rockets have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six road games after losing as favorites.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last four games has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last four road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Jabari Smith Jr. ranks T22nd amongst qualified players for FT% (90.0%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Aday Mara ranks 6th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.2) this season.
• Ajay Mitchell ranks 10th amongst qualified players for FT% (93.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.8).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (48.3).
• The Thunder rank 29th in the league for assists per game this season (22.0).
• The Thunder rank 2nd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.8).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston -3.5