Flyers vs Lightning Prediction 11/24/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Flyers vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Monday, November 24th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 11-6-3 this season after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Philadelphia trailed 1-0 in the first period, but they scored the next five goals and added a goal late in the third to put the game away. The Flyers were out shot by a total of 35-29, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Brink, Cates, Foerster (2), Michkov, and Zegras, while Vladar stopped 32 out of 35 shots, which was a .914 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Philadelphia defeated the Blues by a score of 3-2, but lost to the Stars by a score of 5-1 before that. The Flyers have won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Metro standings with 25 points. Philadelphia has scored 2.80 goals per game and they have allowed 2.80 goals against per game, while also going 17.5% on the power play and 85.0% on the penalty kill this season. Trevor Zegras has led Philadelphia with seven goals and 14 assists, while Travis Konecny has added five goals and 12 assists. The projected starting goalie for the Flyers is Dan Vladar, who is 8-4-1 with a 2.42 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 12-7-2 this year after they defeated Washington by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay led 4-1 after the first period, but they needed a goal late in the third seal the victory. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 32-16, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, Hagel (2), and Kucherov, while Johansson stopped 29 out of 32 shots, which was a .906 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Oilers by a score of 2-1 and the Devils by a score of 5-1. The Lightning have won four of their last five games and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 26 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.14 goals per game and they have allowed 2.86 goals against per game, while also going 17.6% on the power play and 87.3% on the penalty kill this season. Jake Guentzel has led TB with 12 goals and 10 assists, while Nikita Kucherov has added 10 goals and 12 assists. The projected starting goalie for TB is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 8-5-2 with a 2.52 goals against average and a .909 save percentage this year. 

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Lightning have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Lightning’s last six games.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Flyers have won the second period in four of their last five games as underdogs when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last four games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Fourteen of the Lightning’s last 18 night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Benchmark International Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Lightning’s last 14 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games at Benchmark International Arena.
• Darren Raddysh has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last four games.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Tyson Foerster has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with the Flyers as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Flyers’ last nine games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T2nd in the league for power play goals against this season (9).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only three teams to not play in a game that have gone to shootout this season.
• The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (4).
• The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (4).

Flyers vs Lightning Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this contest looking for their fourth straight win and they have been very good defensively in recent games. The Lightning are 6-5-0 at home this year, while the Flyers are 3-3-1 on the road. Philadelphia has won three of their last four and they are having a great start to their season. The Flyers are not a very high scoring team, but they play great defense and their special teams have been solid. I think this is a game that could go either way, so I will take the plus money with the Flyers on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Flyers ML