Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1/5/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Red Wings vs Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, January 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 45 points this season with a 20-15-5 record, and are 16-24 ATS and 24-16 in over/under. They have a 10-7-3 home record and a 10-8-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Jets, and their previous three games were a 4-3 home win over the Capitals, a 4-1 home loss to the Blue Jackets, and a 7-5 road loss to the Maple Leafs.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.25 goals per game and are scoring 25.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.23 goals per game and are killing 72.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 43 points, also leading the team in goals with 19, adding a team-high 24 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 14-8-5 record, with 2.95 GAA and .881 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 6-7 record, with 3.34 GAA and .875 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 52 points this season with a 24-15-4 record, and are 20-23 ATS and 21-18 in over/under. They have a 14-8-1 home record and a 10-7-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home loss to the Penguins, and their previous three games were a 4-3 road overtime loss to the Penguins, a 2-1 home win over the Jets, and a 3-2 home overtime win over the Maple Leafs.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 3.00 goals per game and are scoring 24.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 80.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Lucas Raymond leads the Red Wings with 44 points, also leading the team in assists with 33, while Alex DeBrincat leads the team in goals with 22. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 13-9-1 record, with 2.93 GAA and .895 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 11-6-3 record, with 2.99 GAA and .888 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: January 5, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Red Wings have lost each of their last seven games at Canadian Tire Centre following a loss.
• The Senators have won seven of their last eight games against the Red Wings at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last four games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home loss.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won eight of their last nine night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last eight games between the Red Wings and Senators.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have won the third period in each of their last four night games following a home loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Ten of the Senators’ last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 12 games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 14 of the Red Wings’ last 15 road games against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• David Perron has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against the Red Wings.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in six of the Senators’ last seven home games.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least two shots in each of his last 22 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• James van Riemsdyk has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with the Red Wings as road underdogs.
• Patrick Kane has recorded an assist in each of his last five road appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Dylan Larkin ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.57%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.00%).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.81%).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league in short handed goals this season (0).

Red Wings vs Senators Prediction

The Senators are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Red Wings and the under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Red Wings vs Senators Prediction, the Senators are coming as -150 home favorites. The Red Wings have more points and more overall wins than the Senators and both teams have exactly 10 home/away wins, so may the hosts are being overvalued in this spot. The Sens have back-to-back wins while the Red Wings back-to-back losses, but the Senators have a more consistent offense lately, will be playing the 4th straight game at home and have been dominating the Red Wings in recent years, so take them on the moneyline to get the job done at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Ottawa Senators ML