Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction 3/21/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Wild Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild have 90 points this season with a 39-19-12 record, and are 36-34 ATS and 38-29 in over/under. They have a 19-10-8 home record and a 20-9-4 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home loss to the Blackhawks, and their previous three games were a 4-3 road overtime win over the Blackhawks, a 4-2 home loss to the Maple Leafs, and a 4-2 home loss to the Rangers.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.24 goals per game and are scoring 24.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.80 goals per game and are killing 79.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 80 points and 38 goals, adding a team-high 42 assists. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 25-11-6 record, with 2.52 GAA and .911 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 14-8-6 record, with 2.75 GAA and .913 SV%.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 96 points this season with a 43-15-10 record, and are 29-39 ATS and 34-33 in over/under. They have a 22-8-4 home record and a 21-7-6 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 2-1 road shootout win over the Avalanche, and their previous three games were a 6-3 home loss to the Mammoth, a 3-2 home overtime win over the Red Wings, and a 7-2 home win over the Oilers.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.41 goals per game and are scoring 29.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.66 goals per game and are killing 80.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 81 points and 37 goals, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with 49. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 29-10-5 record, with 2.58 GAA and .902 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 14-5-5 record, with 2.40 GAA and .907 SV%.

Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild Betting Trends: March 21, 2026

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Wild’s last four games at Grand Casino Arena.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 15 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Wild have won the third period in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 10 games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Wild have lost four of their last five games.
• The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five road games.
• The Stars have won the first period in each of their last six road games after coming off a shootout.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Wild’s last eight day games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last nine day games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last four day games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 14 road games against the Wild.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last eight Saturday games.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of the Wild’s last eight Saturday games.
• Kirill Kaprizov has scored a goal in four of the Wild’s last five games as underdogs.
• Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five road games against the Wild.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Minnesota Wild rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.78%).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.80).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.27%).

Stars vs Wild Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 in their two meetings this season with each one winning at home. The Wild won by 5-2 and the Stars by 5-2 as well, but the Stars are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Stars vs Wild Prediction, the Stars are coming as -115 road favorites. This is a major clash in the Western Conference but both teams are coming into this matchup on opposite trajectories. The Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 games and are coming off a loss by the Blackhawks, while on the other hand, the Stars are red-hot with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games. I’m on the Stars on this one, as they are in far better form and have been dominating the Wild historically as well.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Dallas Stars ML