Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction 10/7/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Golden State Valkyries and the Las Vegas Aces meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Chase Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Series Recap

The Golden State Valkyries drew first blood in the series after a 71-60 win in game one over Las Vegas, led by Gabby Williams’ 25-point double-double with 11 rebounds. Kaitlyn Chen was the only other Valkyrie to score in double figures with 11 points off of the bench, but Kiah Stokes and Kayla Thornton each added double-digit rebound totals in the game. A’Ja Wilson scored 24 points in the loss to lead the Aces, while Chelsea Gray chipped in 16 points with 3 triples and Jackie Young added 11 points with 3 threes of her own.

Valkyries Looking For 2-0 Stranglehold

Gabby Williams leads the Valkyries in scoring with 14.3 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 2.2 APG while Janelle Salaun has added 12.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG so far this season. Veronica Burton is the other double-digit scorer for Golden State, averaging 12.3 PPG along with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Valkyries in assists and cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year. Tiffany Hayes adds 8.9 PPG, Cecilia Zandalasini chips in 8.8 PPG, Kayla Thornton has 7.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG, and Kiah Stokes leads Golden State on the glass with a team-high 5.4 RPG.

Aces Looking To Even Up Series

A’ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.0 PPG along with a team-high 9.4 RPG and 3.2 APG so far this season. Three more Aces players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Jackie Young who has 18.9 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.6 APG, Chelsea Gray with 12.0 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and a team-high 6.8 APG, and NaLyssa Smith who adds 11.7 PPG with 6.4 RPG to cap off the primary double-digit scorers for Las Vegas up to this point in the year. Jewell Loyd also has 7.7 PPG with 2.3 RPG for the Aces this season.

Las Vegas Aces @ Golden State Valkyries Betting Trends: October 7, 2026

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Valkyries have won nine of their last 10 home games.
• The Aces have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Valkyries’ last eight games.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last eight night games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Valkyries have lost four of their last five games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last six night games following a road loss.
• The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Aces teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Valkyries’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Aces’ last six road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Golden State Valkyries rank 14th for points per game this season (82.2).
• The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (75.1).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (4.9).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Valkyries here. The Aces were the best ATS team in the WNBA off of a loss in the regular season at 10-4 ATS, but the problem I have here is that Golden State once again showed why Ballhalla is the toughest road environment for opposing teams to go into and pick up a win, especially when all of the chips are in the middle of the table. The Aces have the championship pedigree to respond, but I think Golden State takes care of business in this one knowing that they can take down the Aces in this series. Give me Golden State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Golden State -1.5