Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Friday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars prediction. This article will include a Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars pick.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Ducks and Kings, and they play the Wild next. The Avalanche has won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Colorado Avalanche is averaging 3.82 goals per game and is scoring on 15.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Nathan MacKinnon leads Colorado with 41 goals, Cale Makar has 46 assists, and Martin Necas has 140 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.4 goals per game and are killing 83.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Scott Wedgewood has given up 72 goals on 841 shots faced, and Mackenzie Blackwood has allowed 54 goals on 642 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Canucks and Flames, and they play the Blackhawks next. The Stars have won 10 straight games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.41 goals per game and are scoring on 30 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 34 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 49 assists, and Wyatt Johnston has 162 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.66 goals per game and are killing 80.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 103 goals on 1,012 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 51 goals on 593 shots.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Avalanche have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games as road favorites when trailing after the first period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The favorites have won each of the Stars’ last seven games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games.
• The Stars have lost the second period in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the last 10 night games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the last seven games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Avalanche’s last six road games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 12 games at American Airlines Center against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Avalanche’s last five road games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last four games against Central Division opponents at American Airlines Center.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last six home games.
• Nils Lundkvist has recorded a positive plus-minus rating in each of his last six appearances—the longest active streak in the league.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games as favorites against the Stars.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Avalanche as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.41).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (15.54%).
• The Colorado Avalanche are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction

You can make a case for either side, as these are two legit title contenders, but the value is with the Stars at home. The Stars have won 10 straight games and you usually don’t get them at home at prices this cheap. The Stars have won 3 of the last 4 games against the Avs. Also, the one place where the Avalanche have looked human is on the road this season. Must-watch game on Friday night, but I’m going to side with the Stars on their home ice.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Stars