Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction 11/12/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Canadiens vs Bruins Prediction

Boston comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have allowed two goals or fewer in three straight. The Bruins are 8-1-0 at home this year, while the Canadiens are 6-1-1 on the road. Montreal has split their last four games, with three of those four going to overtime. The Canadiens have had a great start to the season and they have scored at least four goals in four of their last five games. This should be a really fun game to watch, but I am going to side with Boston on home ice.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 11-3-4 this season after they lost to the Wild in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Montreal tied the game at one with about 90 seconds left in the third, but they lost early in OT. The Canadiens out shot Minnesota by a total of 28-24, won 65.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Montreal was led by Nick Suzuki, who had one goal, while Lane Hutson added one assist. Jacob Fowler stopped 22 out of 24 shots in the loss.

Prior to that game, Montreal defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 4-2 and the Mammoth by a score of 5-4. The Canadiens have scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 3.06 goals against per game, while also going 14.8% on the power play and 77.8% on the penalty kill this season. Lane Hutson has led the team with three goals and 15 assists, while Cole Caufield has added 11 goals and six assists. Jacob Fowler is 8-1-2 with a 2.14 goals against average and a .925 save percentage this season.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 13-4-1 this year after they defeated the Panthers by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Boston scored three goals in the first period and added one more in the third in the win. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 42-37, won 63.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-9 on the power play in the game. Boston was led by Pavel Zacha, who had two assists, while David Pastrnak also added two assists. Jeremy Swayman stopped 41 out of 42 shots in the win.

Prior to that game, Boston defeated the Penguins by a score of 6-2 and the Golden Knights by a score of 3-2. The Bruins have scored 3.72 goals per game and they have allowed 2.28 goals against per game, while also going 18.3% on the power play and 77.0% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led the team with eight goals and 16 assists, while Elias Lindholm has added seven goals and eight assists. Jeremy Swayman is 9-3-1 with a 2.21 goals against average and a .920 save percentage this year.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Bruins have won each of their last seven home games.
• The Canadiens have lost 10 of their last 11 games at TD Garden.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last eight night games following a win.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at TD Garden when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Canadiens have lost the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Canadiens and Bruins at TD Garden have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Canadiens’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last three games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 11 games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Bruins’ last eight games.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in four of the Bruins’ last five games as favorites.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Bruins’ last 11 games as favorites against the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in eight of the Canadiens’ last nine games against the Bruins.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last six games against the Bruins.

Positive Trends

After looking at the trends, I am comfortable backing the Bruins here. Boston has been red hot at home in recent games, while Montreal is 1-10 in their last 11 games at the TD Garden. The Canadiens have also struggled late in the game against Eastern Conference opponents in their last five games. Both teams have started the season on the right foot and this could really go either way, but I will back the trends and take Boston to defend home ice once again in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Bruins ML