Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 4/13/25 NHL Picks

The Buffalo Sabres are visiting the Tampa Bay Lightning on Sunday, April 13th at the Amalie Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. We will examine:

The Tampa Bay Lightning recent form and player performance

The Buffalo Sabres recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Lightning

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Buffalo Sabres

Recent betting trends in games played between the Buffalo SabresvsTampa Bay Lightning

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning game

Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning has 98 points this season with a 45-26-8 record and are sitting on the 4th place of the West. They have a 27-8-4 home record and are 41-38 against the spread and 36-37-6 in over/under. The Lightning are coming off a 3-4 home defeat in overtime by the Detroit Red Wings, and are now 1-4 in their last 5 games. Their last three games had gone over the total, as they have scored 3+ goals in all three.   

Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.54 goals per game and are scoring 26.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Lightningare allowing 2.62 goals per game and are killing 81.4% of their opponent’s power plays. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 116 points and a team-high 82 assists, while Brayden Point leads the team in scoring with 41 goals.Jonas Johansson is likely in net for the Lightning, and he has an 8-8 record, with 3.21 GAA and 89.5% saving percentage.

Buffalo Sabres Preview

The Buffalo Sabres have 77 points this season with a 35-27-7 record and are sitting on the third to last place of the Eastern Conference. They have a 13-23-4 road record and are 43-36 against the spread and 44-28-7 in over/under. The Sabres are coming off a 2-3 road defeat by the Florida Panthers, and now have back-to-back losses, following a five-game winning streak. Their last three games had gone under the total.

Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.24 goals per game and are scoring 18.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Sabresare allowing 3.44 goals per game and are killing 76.6% of their opponent’s power plays. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 71 points and a team-high 44 goals.Ukko Pekka-Luukonen is likely in net for the Sabres, and he has a 24-28 record, with 3.22 GAA and 88.6% saving percentage.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Sabres have lost each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Lightning.
• The home team has won each of the Sabres’ last five games.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Lightning.
• The Sabres have lost the third period in each of their last six games as road underdogs when tied after the second period.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Lightning’s last five games.
• The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Lightning’s last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Amalie Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Sabres’ last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Twelve of the last 16 games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 Sunday games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.54).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.62).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.44).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.24).

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 wins this season, with each one winning at home. The Lightning won by 6-5 in Tampa and the Sabres by 3-2 in a shootout in Buffalo. The Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings against the Lightning, and 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Tampa. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Tampa Bay is coming as huge -275 home favorites. The Lightning are rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, but with they have been struggling lately, even though they are fighting for a better playoff placement. The Sabres will like to play spoiler, and have been very good in recent years against the Lightning, so I like them to keep this one competitive. Take the Buffalo Sabres by +1.5 in this one.