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Bruins vs Sabres Prediction 4/6/25 NHL Picks

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Buffalo Sabres (33-36-6) vs Boston Bruins (31-37-9)

April 6, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres -162 / Boston Bruins +136 — Over/Under: 6

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In this article we will formulate a Bruins vs Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, April 6th at the Key Bank Center in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 31-37-9 this season after they defeated Carolina by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Boston scored the first five goals in this game, but they allowed a goal with 55 seconds left to ruin their shutout. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 40-26, won 44.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Geekie, Lindholm, and Pastrnak (3), while Swayman stopped 39 out of 40 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Bruins lost to the Canadiens by a score of 4-1 and the Capitals by a score of 4-3. Boston has lost 11 games in a row and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 69 points. Boston has scored 2.59 goals per game and they have allowed 3.30 goals against per game, while also going 15.2% on the power play and 76.4% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 40 goals, 54 assists, and 309 shots on goal, while Morgan Geekie has added 28 goals, 22 assists, and 136 shots on goal. Joonas Korpisalo is 10-9-3 with a 2.89 goals against average and an .893 save percentage this season. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 33-36-6 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 2-1 after the second period, but they were able to tie the game and get the win in overtime. The Sabres out shot Tampa Bay by a total of 38-24, won 41.8% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Thompson and Zucker, while Reimer stopped 22 out of 24 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Sabres defeated the Senators by a score of 5-2 and the Capitals by a score of 8-5. Buffalo has won five of their last seven games and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with 70 points. Buffalo has scored 3.26 goals per game and they have allowed 3.54 goals against per game, while also going 18.3% on the power play and 76.3% on the penalty kill this season. Tage Thompson has led Buffalo with 40 goals, 27 assists, and 219 shots on goal, while JJ Peterka has added 23 goals, 37 assists, and 159 shots on goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 23-23-4 with a 3.23 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this season. 

Why the Sabres will beat the Bruins 

  • The Bruins have lost each of their last eight road games following a home win.
  • The Sabres have won each of their last seven home games following a win.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last seven games between the Bruins and Sabres at KeyBank Center.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven road games.
  • The favorites have won the second period in each of the last five games between the Bruins and Sabres at KeyBank Center.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Sabres’ last seven home games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Ten of the last 11 night games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Six of the Bruins’ last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 11 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Bruins’ last eight road games against the Sabres.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents at KeyBank Center.
  • Tage Thompson has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last four night games.
  • Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents at KeyBank Center.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • David Pastrnak has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 11 games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances at KeyBank Center.

Bruins vs Sabres Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this contest battling for last place in the Atlantic standings, which is not a spot the Bruins thought they would be in at the beginning of the season. The Bruins are 11-24-3 on the road this year, while the Sabres are 20-14-3 at home. Buffalo may have a poor record on the season, but they are playing some of their best hockey of the year right now. Both teams will be on the second game of a back to back, but I have to side with the Sabres. Boston looks like they have thrown in the towel on the season, despite yesterday’s result, while Buffalo is surging. Take the Sabres here. 

David Racey's Pick: Sabres ML

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