Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 1/4/25

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Toronto Maple Leafs (24-13-2) vs Boston Bruins (20-16-4)

January 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -145 / Boston Bruins +120 — Over/Under: 5.5

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The Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Pick.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins lost to the Capitals and Rangers, and they play the Islanders, Oilers, and Lightning next. The Boston Bruins are averaging 2.58 goals per game and are scoring on 12.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Brad Marchand leads Boston with 15 goals, David Pastrnak has 25 assists and Charlie McAvoy has 80 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 75.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 79 goals on 736 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 34 goals on 325 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Capitals, beat the Islanders, and they play the Flyers, Hurricanes, and Canucks next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 21.1 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 23 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 38 shots on goal and John Tavares has 112 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.74 goals per game and are killing 82 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 35 goals on 480 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 42 goals on 503 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Bruins have lost each of their last three road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in five of the Bruins’ last six games.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in six of their last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The Bruins have won each of their last eight games against the Maple Leafs following a road loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last eight Saturday games as favorites.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in 24 of their last 25 Saturday games as underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three night games at Scotiabank Arena following a road win.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in four of their last five home games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Nicholas Robertson has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • John Tavares has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • John Tavares has scored the last goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at Scotiabank Arena.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Charlie McAvoy has recorded an assist in five of the Bruins’ last six games as road underdogs.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 15 Saturday games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in save percentage this season (.906).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T30th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.85).
  • The Boston Bruins rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.78%).
  • The Boston Bruins rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (427).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction

The Boston Bruins have lost three of their last four games, and their offense continues to run hot and cold. It’s hard to take the Bruins seriously on the road against above-average teams. The Toronto Maple Leafs are at home, where they’ve seen 15 of their 24 wins take place. The Maple Leafs have also picked things up defensively as of late, and that’s when they’re at their best. We know the Maple Leafs can score, but when they’re locked in defensively, that’s when you can make a case for them to make a deep playoff run. The Maple Leafs shut out the Bruins back in November. The Bruins have seen 10 of their 16 losses come on the road. Give me the Maple Leafs and the reasonable price on Saturday.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -145

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