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Blue Jackets vs Maple Leafs Prediction 4/5/25 NHL Picks

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Toronto Maple Leafs (46-25-4) vs Columbus Blue Jackets (34-31-9)

April 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -205 / Columbus Blue Jackets +170 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jackets vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 5th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Columbus Blue Jackets Betting Preview

The Columbus Blue Jackets are 34-31-9 this season after they lost to Colorado by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Columbus led 3-2 in the second period, but they allowed the last five goals in the game for the loss. The Blue Jackets were out shot by a total of 32-30, won 50.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Columbus got goals from Aston-Reese, Jenner, and Monahan, while Merzlikins stopped 21 out of 28 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Blue Jackets defeated the Predators by a score of 8-4, but did lose to the Senators by a score of 3-2 before that. Columbus has won three of their last five games and they are currently fifth in the Metro standings with 77 points. Columbus has scored 3.23 goals per game and they have allowed 3.41 goals against per game, while also going 19% on the power play and 75.5% on the penalty kill this season. Zach Werenski has led Columbus with 20 goals, 54 assists, and 269 shots on goal, while Kirill Marchenko has added 31 goals, 39 assists, and 189 shots on goal. Elvis Merzlikins is 25-20-5 with a 3.20 goals against average and an .891 save percentage this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 46-25-4 this year after they defeated Florida by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Toronto trailed 1-0 in the second period, but they scored the next three goals in the game for the win. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 31-26, won 47.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Knies, Marner, and Tavares, while Stolarz stopped 29 out of 31 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Maple Leafs defeated the Ducks by a score of 3-2 and the Kings by a score of 3-1. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 96 points. Toronto has scored 3.25 goals per game and they have allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 26.1% on the power play and 78.1% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 24 goals, 69 assists, and 161 shots on goal, while William Nylander has added 42 goals, 38 assists, and 239 shots on goal. Joseph Woll is 25-13-1 with a 2.78 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year. 

Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Blue Jackets

  • The Blue Jackets have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in three of their last four night games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games at Scotiabank Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Blue Jackets’ last five road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games as favorites.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Blue Jackets’ last eight road games against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in eight of his last nine appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against the Blue Jackets.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as home favorites.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena.

Columbus Blue Jackets Player Prop Facts

  • Boone Jenner has scored at least one goal in five of the Blue Jackets’ last six games.
  • Sean Monahan has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances.
  • Dante Fabbro has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances.

Blue Jackets vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup looking for their fourth win in a row and they are trying to pull away in the Atlantic standings. The Maple Leafs are 24-13-1 at home this year, while the Blue Jackets are 12-21-4 on the road. Columbus has lost two of their last three games and they are in desperate need of wins to stay in the wild card race. This Blue Jackets team isn’t great on the road and we have seen them play some questionable defense this year. Take the Maple Leafs -1.5 in this matchup. 

David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5

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