Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction 1/25/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Avalanche vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, January 25th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 34-6-9 this year after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Colorado tied the game at three in the second period, but they allowed four goals in the third period for the loss. The Avalanche out shot Philadelphia by a total of 35-20, won 48.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Kelly, Olofsson, and Makar, while Blackwood stopped 13 out of 19 shots, which was a .684 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Colorado lost to the Ducks by a score of 2-1, but did beat the Capitals by a score of 5-2 before that. The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Central standings with 77 points. Colorado has scored 3.94 goals per game and they have allowed 2.37 goals against per game, while also going 16.1% on the power play and 84.4% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 38 goals and 49 assists, while Martin Necas has added 22 goals and 40 assists. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Mackenzie Blackwood, who is 13-3-1 with a 2.49 goals against average and a .907 save percentage this year. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 24-18-9 this season after they lost to Vegas by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Toronto cut the deficit from 4-1 to 4-3 in the second period, but they allowed two goals in the third period to seal the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 31-21, won 58.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Laughton, McMann, and Tavares, while Stolarz stopped 25 out of 30 shots, which was an .833 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Red Wings by a score of 2-1 and the Wild by a score of 6-3. The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last six games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 57 points. Toronto has scored 3.31 goals per game and they have allowed 3.35 goals against per game, while also going 16.8% on the power play and 83.5% on the penalty kill this season. John Tavares has led Toronto with 19 goals and 25 assists, while Matthew Knies has added 12 goals and 31 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 11-5-4 with a 2.85 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Avalanche have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the last eight games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena when leading after the first period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last five day games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a home loss.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in five of their last six games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Avalanche’s last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 13 of the Avalanche’s last 14 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games following a home loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as home underdogs.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of his last six home appearances against Central Division opponents.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded an assist in 10 of the Avalanche’s last 11 day games.

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup with the most points in the NHL so far this season, but they have lost four of their last five games. The Avalanche are 14-4-5 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 16-7-6 at home. Toronto has lost three games in a row and they have allowed six goals in three of their last five. Both teams are struggling right now, especially on defense, so I think we could see a higher scoring game here. Take the over in this contest.

David Racey's Pick: Over 6.5