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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 4/9/25 NHL Picks

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Tampa Bay Lightning (45-26-6) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (47-25-4)

April 9, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -162 / Toronto Maple Leafs +136 — Over/Under: 6.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, April 9th, at the Birdgestone Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Maple Leafs’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Lightning’s recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Tampa Bay

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Maple Leafs and Lightning.

Maple Leafs on Tired Legs

The Maple Leafs will be on tired legs heading into this game after their road game on Tuesday against the Florida Panthers. Two games ago, against the Columbus Blue Jackets, the Maple Leafs’ offense was impressive, scoring five goals, which was enough for the five-goal victory. William Nylander and Nicholas Robertson both scored two goals, and they are going to need the offense to be good again here. 

The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.28 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.88 goals per game. The offense is ranked 7th, and even on tired legs, it’s going to be a major key here. Anthony Stolarz is expected to start here. He sits with an 18.8-3 record, and he’s giving up 2.26 goals per game. 

Strong Win for Lightning

The Lightning, in the last game, faced off against the New York Rangers, and that was enough to secure the victory. Brayden Point had a strong game, scoring two goals and adding one assist to pace it. Andrei Vasilevsky was in goal, and he saved 37 of the 38 shots that he faced. They really need to try and limit the number of shots that he’s going to have to face in this game. 

Tampa Bay is averaging 3.58 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.58 goals per game. With the Maple Leafs on tired legs, they really need to find success on the defensive part of the ice. The Lightning aren’t dealing with injuries, and that is a big key in this game. Vasilevsky is expected to get the start in goal again, and he sits with a 37-20-3 record overall, and he’s giving up 2.16 goals per game. The Lighting have won four of his last five starts. 

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Maple Leafs are on tired legs, and that is going to be a big disadvantage for them here. The Lightning are averaging 3.58 goals per game, and they get to now face off against a Toronto defense that is going to be tired. The Maple Leafs’ offense is averaging 3.28 goals, but they aren’t going to perform well enough to have any sort of a chance. The Maple Leafs are going to have no answer here. Back the Lightning on the puck line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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