Red Wings vs Capitals Prediction 3/7/25 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Wings vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Friday, March 7th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 30-26-6 this year after they lost to Utah by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Detroit led 2-1 after the first period, but they allowed the last three goals in the game for the loss. The Red Wings outshot Utah by a total of 40-19, won 38.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from Berggren and Larkin, while Lyon stopped 15 out of 19 shots in the game. 

Prior to that game, the Red Wings lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 2-1 and the Blue Jackets by a score of 5-3. Detroit has lost four games in a row and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 66 points. Detroit has scored 2.85 goals per game and they have allowed 3.16 goals against per game, while also going 29.1% on the power play and 69.9% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 22 goals, 41 assists, and 147 shots on goal, while Dylan Larkin has added 25 goals, 29 assists, and 200 shots on goal. Cam Talbot is 17-13-3 with a 2.92 goals-against average and a .903 save percentage this year. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 40-14-8 this season after they defeated the Rangers by a score of 3-2 in overtime. Washington trailed 2-1 in the third period, but they were able to tie the game and get the win in overtime. The Capitals outshot New York by a total of 26-17, won 42.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Dubois, Ovechkin, and Wilson, while Lindgren stopped 15 out of 17 shots in the game. 

Prior to that victory, the Capitals defeated the Senators by a score of 5-4 but did lose to the Lightning by a score of 3-1 before that. Washington has lost three of their last five games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 88 points. Washington has scored 3.59 goals per game and they have allowed 2.59 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 81.6% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 18 goals, 42 assists, and 111 shots on goal, while Pierre-Luc Dubois has added 15 goals, 37 assists, and 104 shots on goal. Logan Thompson is 26-4-5 with a 2.32 goals-against average and a .918 save percentage this year. The Capitals will meet the Kraken and Ducks after this game.

Why the Capitals will beat the Red Wings 

• The Capitals have won each of their last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Red Wings have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Capitals’ last seven games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last seven night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as road underdogs.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Jakob Chychrun has scored at least one goal in four of the Capitals’ last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Red Wings.
• Dylan Strome has recorded an assist in six of the Capitals’ last seven night games.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Alex DeBrincat has scored at least one goal in eight of his last nine appearances against the Capitals.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Capitals.
• Moritz Seider has recorded an assist in five of the Red Wings’ last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Red Wings vs Capitals Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup looking for their third straight win, but they have not been very convincing over their last five games. The Capitals are 19-7-6 at home this year, while the Red Wings are 14-11-3 on the road. Detroit played Utah on Thursday night, so they will be on a back-to-back here. The Wings have had some struggles in their last four games and defense/goaltending is definitely a concern. I know Washington has regressed slightly, but I don’t think this Detroit team can be trusted right now. Take the Caps -1.5 here.