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St. Louis Blues vs Washington Capitals Prediction 2/27/25 NHL Picks

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Washington Capitals (38-12-8) vs St. Louis Blues (27-26-6)

February 27, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Capitals -180 / St. Louis Blues +150 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Louis Blues and the Washington Capitals meet Thursday in NHL action from the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Louis Blues vs. Washington Capitals prediction.

Matchup History

The Washington Capitals won the first meeting between these two teams by a final score of 8-1 in St. Louis back on November 9th, 2024. Despite the win, the Blues still have a 7-3 edge in the last ten meetings between these two teams.

St. Louis Blues Recap

The St. Louis Blues come into this game looking to add on to their 7-2 win over the Seattle Kraken in their last game to sit at 27-26-6 on the year. After this game, St. Louis will meet the Kings, Stars, Kings, and Ducks.

Blues Win Back-To-Back Games

Jordan Kyrou leads the Blues with 47 points including a team-high 24 goals and 23 assists while Pavel Buchnevich has 39 points with 12 goals and 27 assists. Dylan Holloway has 42 points split between 17 goals and 25 assists and Colton Parayko has 32 points of his own with 13 goals and 19 assists. Jake Neighbours has 27 points with 14 goals and 13 assists and Robert Thomas has 47 points with 16 goals and 31 assists as well on the year. Joel Hofer has gone 10-7-2 with a 2.82 GAA and an .899 save percentage in goal for St. Louis so far this season while Jordan Binnington is 17-19-4 with a 2.82 GAA and an .899 save percentage.

Why the St. Louis Blues will win

  • The Capitals have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Capitals’ last five games at Capital One Arena.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Capitals’ last eight games.

St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

  • Jordan Kyrou has scored a goal in four of the Blues’ last five games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Robert Thomas has recorded an assist in each of the Blues’ last seven games.
  • Robert Thomas has recorded at least one point in each of the Blues’ last seven games.
  • Zachary Bolduc ranks 1st amongst rookies for Plus/Minus (+11) this season.

Washington Capitals Recap

The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to the Calgary Flames last time out to slip to 38-12-8 on the year. After this game, the Capitals will welcome the Tampa Bay Lightning to town.

Capitals Looking For Rebound Performance

Dylan Strome leads the Capitals with 59 points including 18 goals and a team-high 41 assists while Alex Ovechkin has 47 points with 30 goals and 17 assists and Connor McMichael’s added 43 points with 20 goals and 23 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 50 points with 23 goals and 27 assists while Tom Wilson has 45 points and John Carlson has 39 points with Wilson logging 26 goals and 19 assists and Carlson adding 35 assists. Pierre-Luc Dubois also has 48 points with 35 assists of his own. Jakob Chychrun has 39 points with 17 goals and 22 assists as well on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 25-3-5 with a 2.28 GAA and a .919 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 13-9-3 with a 2.64 GAA and a .901 save percentage this season.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Capitals have won each of their last six games following a home loss.
  • The Blues have lost each of their last five road games following a home win.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games following a home loss.
  • The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • John Carlson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last nine games.
  • Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last five night games.
  • Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • Tom Wilson has recorded two assists against the Blues this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Capitals’ last eight home night games following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Blues’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Ten of the last 11 Thursday night games between teams from different conferences have gone UNDER the total goals line.

St. Louis Blues vs. Washington Capitals Prediction

I’m on the Capitals here. The Capitals are still rock solid despite a loss at home to Calgary and have been one of the most balanced teams in the NHL home or away this season. St. Louis has just been wildly inconsistent at times and I just don’t see a spot here where the Blues waltz into Washington and hand the Caps back-to-back losses. Washington’s been able to rebound fairly well this season and I think they do so again here. Give me Washington.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Washington Capitals -180

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