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Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/27/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Tampa Bay Lightning (33-20-4) vs Calgary Flames (28-21-8)
Game Info: Thursday, February 27, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -225 / Calgary Flames +185 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, February 27th at the Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Calgary Flames Betting Preview
The Calgary Flames (28-21-8, 29-28 ATS) went through a rough patch recently; they lost six of eight games but managed to respond with a pair of wins against the Sharks and Capitals. After conceding 13 goals in three consecutive defeats prior to this mini-positive run, the Flames allowed just two in those wins. Calgary is 4th in the Pacific Division with 64 points, ten behind the Golden Knights at the moment.
The Flames score 2.65 goals per game on average (28th), while they concede 2.93 GPG (14th). This season, Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau lead the team with 43 points apiece. MacKenzie Weegar has 32 points (6 G and 26 A), while Matt Coronato is right behind him with 31 points (15 G and 16 A).
Dan Vladar (8-10-5) is expected to start for the Flames at the goal on Thursday against the Lightning. The 27-year-old is allowing 2.98 goals per game this year with a .891 SV% and two shutouts.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning (33-20-4, 30-27 ATS) are playing their best hockey of the campaign. The Lightning are currently on a six-game winning streak, their longest of the year, and they allowed only two goals in the opening two games of the three-game homestay. Tampa Bay beat the Kraken and Oilers in those games by an identical 4-1 score. Right now, the Lightning are 3rd in the Atlantic Division with 70 points, four behind the Maple Leafs.
The Lightning average 3.58 goals per game this year (2nd), while they allow 2.70 GPG (6th). Nikita Kucherov is by far the team’s most productive player with 85 points (26 G and 59 A). Brandon Hagel contributes 65 points (28 G and 37 A), while Brayden Point has 60 points (31 G and 29 A).
Andrei Vasilevskiy (27-15-3) will probably take his place between the sticks for the Lightning against the Flames on Thursday. The 30-year-old is conceding 2.29 goals per contest this season with a .921 SV% and three shutouts.
Why the Lightning will beat the Flames
- The Flames have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Lightning have won each of their last six games.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
- The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Flames have lost the third period in each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.
Why the Flames will beat the Lightning
- The road team has won six of the Flames’ last seven games.
- The road team has covered the puck line in eight of the Flames’ last nine games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games at Amalie Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Lightning have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Six of the Lightning’s last seven night games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the Flames’ last seven games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last seven games at Amalie Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 11 of the Flames’ last 12 games against opponents on a winning streak.
Flames vs Lightning Prediction
During their current six-game winning run, the Lightning managed to keep the opponents to just a goal in three. That was the case in each of their previous three home games, while the Flames are playing some tough road hockey of late, conceding only three goals in the last two games. Only seven of the Flames’ last 11 road games produced more than five goals. Also, the Flames have a 21-35-1 Over/Under record this season, which is another reason I am going with Under in this one.
