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Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/6/25 NHL Picks

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Tampa Bay Lightning (28-20-4) vs Ottawa Senators (29-21-4)

February 6, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -162 / Ottawa Senators +136 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, February 6th at the Amalie Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Senators’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Lightning’s recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Ottawa

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent betting trends in games played between Ottawa and Tampa Bay

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Senators and Lightning. 

How Do the Senators Bounce Back?

The Senators faced off against the Tampa Bay Lightning in the last game and they didn’t make enough winning plays and that led to the defeat. The Senators didn’t play awfully, but they gave up two goals in the third period, which led to their defeat. Drake Batherson did have a strong game scoring a goal but it wasn’t enough as they ended up losing. Linus Ullmark was in goal and he saved 34 of the 37 shots that he faced. Two games ago against the Nashville Predators, they ended up winning 5-2. 

The Senators on the season are averaging 2.87 goals while their defense is giving up 2.68 goals per game. The offense is ranked 18th in the league while the defense is ranked 6th. They are averaging 29.8 shots per game which is 7th in the league. They are going to need to pepper shots on goal to try and put the pressure. Tim Stutzle has scored 17 goals and added 37 assists. The Senators will face the Panthers following this one.

Why the Senators Will Beat the Lightning

  • The Senators have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Lightning.
  • The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last nine night games against the Lightning following a road loss.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Lightning have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites when trailing after the second period.

Can the Lightning Win a Second Straight Game?

The Lightning faced off against the Ottawa Senators in teh last game and they were able to secure a 4-3 victory. It took two goals in the third period, but it was enough for the victory. Victor Hedman finished with two assists to help pace the offense. Andrei Vasilevsky was in goal and he saved 25 of the 28 shots that he faced. Two games ago against the New York Islanders, they weren’t as good, and they ended up losing 3-2. 

The Lightning are averaging 3.46 goals while their defense is giving up 2.78 goals per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league while the defense is ranked 10th. For the most part, they have been a good offensive team and they are going to need the offense to run up the score early here. They are averaging only 17.79 hits per game which is 28th. It’s one of their only real weaknesses this season. Nikita Kucherov has scored 25 goals and added 52 assists so far this season. The Lightning will take on the Red Wings, Canadiens, and Kraken after this game.

Why the Lightning Will Beat the Senators

  • The Lightning have won each of their last six Thursday games at Amalie Arena.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last three road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 Thursday night games.
  • The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last three home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

This game is going to end up being lower-scoring. The Senators offense hasn’t been great, and they aren’t going to magically get the offense going here. They are averaging 2.87 goals per game and they are going to really struggle here. The Lightning’s offense has been good overall, but they are facing a Senators defense which is 6th in all the NHL. The Lightning aren’t going to get many quality scoring chances here, and this game will end up staying under the total. This is a strong play. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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