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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction 1/18/25 NHL Picks

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Montreal Canadiens (22-18-4) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (28-16-2)

January 18, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Montreal Canadiens +120 / Toronto Maple Leafs -142 — Over/Under: 5.5

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The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Montreal Canadiens meet Saturday in NHL action from the Bell Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to build on their 4-3 OT win over the New Jersey Devils last time out to improve to 28-16-2 on the year. After this game, Toronto will head back home for a matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Maple Leafs Looking To Heat Up Again

Mitch Marner has a team-high 62 points with 14 goals and a team-high 48 assists while William Nylander has 47 points with a team-high 26 goals. John Tavares has 42 points with 20 goals and 22 assists and Auston Matthews has 34 points with 17 goals and 17 assists. Matthew Knies has 27 points with 16 goals while Morgan Rielly has 20 points with 5 goals and 15 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 9-5-2 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.13 GAA and a .928 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 15-8 with a 2.66 GAA and a .907 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 3-2 record, a 3.18 GAA and an .891 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games after coming off overtime.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.

Montreal Canadiens Recap

The Montreal Canadiens come into this game looking to add to their 3-1 win over the Dallas Stars last time out to climb to 22-18-4 on the year. After this game, Montreal will welcome the New York Rangers to town.

Canadiens Looking To Stay Hot Against Rival

Nick Suzuki has a team-high 45 points with 13 goals and a team-high 32 assists while Cole Caufield has 43 points with a team-high 24 goals. Mike Matheson has 19 assists while Juraj Slafkovsky has 24 points with 19 assists and Lane Hutson has 33 assists as well on the year. Brendan Gallagher has 17 points with 10 goals while Jake Evans has 23 points with 10 goals and 13 assists. In goal for Montreal, Sam Montembeault has gone 16-15-3 with a 2.88 GAA and a .900 save percentage while Cayden Primeau is 2-3-1 with a 4.70 GAA and an .836 save percentage this season. Jakub Dobes is also 4-0 with a 0.98 GAA and a .963 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

  • The underdogs have won nine of the Canadiens’ last 10 games.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games at Bell Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Canadiens’ last 14 games.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games against the Canadiens following a home win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last three games between two teams from the Atlantic Division has gone OVER the total goals line.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction

I’m looking at Montreal here. That pains me to say as a Leaf fan, but the fact of the matter is that Montreal is playing extremely well over the last month and has gone from the basement of the Atlantic division to the mid-season conversation about wild cards and playoff spots. This is the best I’ve seen Montreal play in a couple of years and while I think Toronto’s the more talented team overall, Montreal’s form is too good to pass on getting plus money at home. Give me Montreal in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Montreal +120

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