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Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Prediction 1/16/25 NHL Picks

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New York Islanders (17-19-7) vs Philadelphia Flyers (19-20-6)

January 16, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Islanders -135 / Philadelphia Flyers +115 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 16th at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 19-20-6 this year after they lost to Columbus in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Philadelphia led 2-1 in the third period, but they allowed the tying goal late in regulation and ended up losing in the shootout. The Flyers were outshot by a total of 28-25, won 53.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Brink and Tippett, while Fedotov stopped 26 out of 28 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Flyers defeated the Panthers by a score of 4-3 and the Ducks by a score of 6-0. Philadelphia has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently fifth in the Metro standings with 44 points. Philadelphia has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 3.42 goals against per game, while also averaging 16.5% on the power play and 78.4% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny has led Philadelphia with 20 goals, 30 assists, and 109 shots on goal, while Matvei Michkov has added 13 goals, 18 assists, and 94 shots on goal. Samuel Ersson is 11-7-2 with a 2.87 goals against average and an .887 save percentage this season. 

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders are 17-19-7 this season after they lost to Ottawa by a score of 2-0 in their last game. New York allowed one goal in the second and one in the third for the shutout loss. The Islanders were outshot by a total of 27-24, won 60.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. New York was led by Dobson, who had four shots on goal, while Hogberg stopped 25 out of 26 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Islanders defeated the Hockey Club by a score of 2-1 and the Golden Knights by a score of 4-0. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 41 points. New York has scored 2.60 goals per game and they have allowed 3.02 goals against per game, while also going 10.5% on the power play and 65.6% on the penalty kill this season. Anders Lee has led New York with 19 goals, 16 assists, and 130 shots on goal, while Bo Horvat has added 13 goals, 17 assists, and 120 shots on goal. Ilya Sorokin is 13-13-4 with a 2.83 goals against average and a .902 save percentage this year. 

Why the Islanders will beat the Flyers

  • The Islanders have won each of their last five games against the Flyers following a loss.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in four of the Flyers’ last five games.
  • The Flyers have lost the third period in each of their last four night games after coming off overtime.

Total Goals Facts

  • Nine of the Flyers’ last 10 road games following a shootout win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Islanders’ last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 11 of the Islanders’ last 12 games following a loss.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Horvat has recorded at least one assist in four of the Islanders’ last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Jean-Gabriel Pageau has scored a goal in four of the Islanders’ last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents at UBS Arena.
  • Kyle Palmieri has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight Thursday night appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Owen Tippett has scored a goal in four of the Flyers’ last five road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Travis Konecny has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances with the Flyers as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Islanders rank 29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.60).
  • The New York Islanders rank 32nd in the league for power-play goals this season (11).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.871).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.29).

Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders Prediction 

New York comes into this game after winning three of their last four games and they will be at home, but they are coming off of a very disappointing loss last time out. The Islanders are 7-10-2 at home this year, while the Flyers are 9-9-5 on the road. Philadelphia has really struggled over the last month and they are allowing nearly 3.50 goals against per game this year. I don’t love this New York offense, but I think they can find success against this Philadelphia defense. Take the Islanders here. 

David Racey's Pick: Islanders ML

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